THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 03 NOVEMBERMATCHES 196EVENTS 34LIVE 19ALERTS 30
ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-02 10:00

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Moise Kouame

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
A. Davidovich Fokina to win 2-01.83
Price too short today - wait for 2.07 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 72/28, us 78/22

A. Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 over the last ten and 26-10 on hard this season. M. Kouame is 7-3 over the last ten and 30-17 on hard this season. M. Kouame has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Davidovich Fokina to win 2-0. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.07 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. Davidovich FokinaM. Kouame
26Ranking201
9-1Last 107-3
WWWWWLast 5WWWWW
+3.4V the odds+2.1
33-16Season37-22
26-10Hard 202630-17
0Last 7 days5
15dDays rest1d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Davidovich FokinaFAV1.3472%
M. Kouame3.5128%
Market says72% Fokina

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Davidovich Fokina
M. Kouame
33-16
26-10
Lost R16 to A. Zverev
Reached R64
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
37-23
30-18
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Spain
Moise Kouame
France
26
27
Spain
29–16
2
15–8
5–5
9–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
201
17
France
31–21
3
24–14
7–7
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Davidovich Fokina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-18ShanghaiHardR. Jodar2.2256%WON
2026-10-17ShanghaiHardA. Zverev4.2777%WON
2026-10-16ShanghaiHardA. Gea RET1.9351%WON
2026-10-14ShanghaiHardH. Hurkacz2.0051%WON
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardF. Tiafoe1.9650%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardJ. Brooksby1.4467%WON
2026-09-30TokyoHardM. Berrettini1.6758%LOST
2026-09-29ChengduHardH. Hurkacz2.2257%WON
2026-09-28ChengduHardN. Basilashvili——WON
2026-09-27ChengduHardA. Muller1.3372%WON

M. Kouame — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-11-03ParisHard (Indoor)N. Borges——LOST
2026-11-01BrestHardM. Damm2.0252%WON
2026-10-31BrestHardO. Virtanen2.4160%WON
2026-10-30BrestHardF. Maestrelli1.5164%WON
2026-10-29BrestHardH. Gaston RET2.0753%WON
2026-10-27BrestHardH. Grenier1.3671%WON
2026-10-21Lyon (France) - QualificationHard (Indoor)L. Musetti4.1777%LOST
2026-10-19Lyon (France) - QualificationHard (Indoor)L. Sonego2.5261%WON
2026-10-15RoanneHard (Indoor)N. Budkov Kjaer2.1254%LOST
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)D. Dedura1.3373%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Moise Kouame?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is favourite at 1.34, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 1.34 and Moise Kouame is 3.51, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

Who will win Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame?

Our model makes it Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).

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