ChallengerHard (Indoor)Taipei2026-11-01 04:30

Dimitris Sakellaridis v Yuta Shimizu

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON

Y. Shimizu to win1.29

Price too short today - wait for 1.39 or bigger · our chance 72% · market 26/74, us 28/72

Y. Shimizu is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-22 on hard this season. D. Sakellaridis is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-22 on hard this season.

The pick is Y. Shimizu to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.39 or bigger. At 1.29 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. Sakellaridis		Y. Shimizu
559	Ranking	393
5-5	Last 10	5-5
LLWWW	Last 5	LWLLW
+1.4	V the odds	-0.1
49-42	Season	24-22
19-22	Hard 2026	24-22
1	Last 7 days	2
7d	Days rest	3d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. Sakellaridis3.7126%

Y. ShimizuFAV1.2874%

Market says74% Shimizu

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

D. SakellaridisLLLWW

Y. ShimizuWWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Sakellaridis0

Y. Shimizu1

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-11-01	Taipei	D. SakellaridisvY. Shimizu	2-6 2-6

This season & this event

D. Sakellaridis

Y. Shimizu

49-43

19-23

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

26-22

Lost R16 to K. Uchida

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Greece

Yuta Shimizu

Japan

559

Greece

47–40

20–21

27–19

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

393

Japan

23–20

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Sakellaridis — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	Y. Shimizu	3.71	74%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 SakellaridisShimizuPoints won41%59%Serve points won49%71%Return points won29%51%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved5 of 101 of 2Aces34Double faults34
2026-10-25	Seoul	Hard	Y. Kikuchi	1.41	68%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 7-6 5-7 SakellaridisKikuchiPoints won46%54%Serve points won55%62%Return points won38%45%Games held8 of 1512 of 16Break points saved7 of 1413 of 17Aces47Double faults34
2026-10-21	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	O. Roca Batalla	4.50	79%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 SakellaridisBatallaPoints won40%60%Serve points won43%63%Return points won37%57%Games held3 of 87 of 9Break points saved6 of 113 of 5Aces12Double faults51
2026-10-20	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	J. Clarke	4.18	77%	WON
Games in each set7-5 4-6 6-2 SakellaridisClarkePoints won54%46%Serve points won54%47%Return points won53%46%Games held9 of 157 of 15Break points saved5 of 117 of 15Aces42Double faults26
2026-10-19	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	S. Perez Contri	3.15	70%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-4 6-3 SakellaridisContriPoints won52%48%Serve points won53%50%Return points won50%47%Games held8 of 147 of 14Break points saved13 of 195 of 12Aces42Double faults610
2026-10-18	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	M. Nannelli	1.34	72%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-3 SakellaridisNannelliPoints won53%47%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held10 of 117 of 10Break points saved9 of 102 of 5Aces50Double faults32
2026-10-11	Catania (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	O. Ovcharenko	2.75	66%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 SakellaridisOvcharenkoPoints won36%64%Serve points won44%72%Return points won28%56%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved1 of 61 of 2Aces44Double faults42
2026-10-06	Palermo (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	Z. Kolar	5.23	82%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 SakellaridisKolarPoints won43%57%Serve points won52%68%Return points won32%48%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved4 of 82 of 4Aces31Double faults54
2026-10-05	Palermo (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	M. Cerny	2.56	63%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-1 7-6 SakellaridisCernyPoints won51%49%Serve points won57%56%Return points won44%43%Games held9 of 148 of 14Break points saved6 of 114 of 10Aces42Double faults13
2026-10-04	Palermo (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	R. Guna	1.75	54%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 SakellaridisGunaPoints won52%48%Serve points won59%57%Return points won43%41%Games held8 of 116 of 11Break points saved6 of 92 of 7Aces14Double faults35

Y. Shimizu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	E. Zhu	1.37	70%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 ShimizuZhuPoints won65%35%Serve points won82%48%Return points won52%18%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved3 of 35 of 9Aces43Double faults01
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	D. Sakellaridis	1.28	74%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 ShimizuSakellaridisPoints won59%41%Serve points won71%49%Return points won51%29%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved1 of 25 of 10Aces43Double faults43
2026-10-29	Ningbo	Hard	Y. H. Hsu	2.10	54%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-3 4-6 ShimizuHsuPoints won50%50%Serve points won61%62%Return points won38%39%Games held10 of 1511 of 16Break points saved6 of 112 of 7Aces22Double faults21
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	M. Poljicak	1.82	53%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-4 ShimizuPoljicakPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%69%Return points won31%28%Games held16 of 1613 of 15Break points saved1 of 12 of 4Aces213Double faults31
2026-10-18	Guangzhou	Hard	M. Purcell	—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 ShimizuPurcellPoints won38%62%Serve points won50%74%Return points won26%50%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved1 of 54 of 4Aces111Double faults11
2026-10-01	Jingshan	Hard	B. Tomic	2.46	61%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 2-6 6-7 ShimizuTomicPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%71%Return points won29%36%Games held13 of 1614 of 16Break points saved2 of 57 of 9Aces86Double faults30
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	S. Sakellaridis	3.00	69%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 ShimizuSakellaridisPoints won53%47%Serve points won71%66%Return points won34%29%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 11 of 4Aces512Double faults34
2026-09-15	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	P. Sekulic	1.60	60%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-2 5-7 ShimizuSekulicPoints won47%53%Serve points won58%65%Return points won35%42%Games held9 of 1410 of 14Break points saved4 of 95 of 9Aces96Double faults59
2026-09-12	Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	A. Weber	1.62	60%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ShimizuWeberPoints won45%55%Serve points won57%66%Return points won34%43%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved6 of 92 of 3Aces26Double faults32
2026-09-11	Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	H. Moriya	1.32	73%	WON
Games in each set5-7 7-5 7-6 ShimizuMoriyaPoints won49%51%Serve points won60%63%Return points won37%40%Games held14 of 1814 of 18Break points saved13 of 1712 of 16Aces147Double faults75

Common questions

Who is favourite, Dimitris Sakellaridis or Yuta Shimizu?

Yuta Shimizu is favourite at 1.28, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu?

Dimitris Sakellaridis is 3.71 and Yuta Shimizu is 1.28, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.

What is the head-to-head between Dimitris Sakellaridis and Yuta Shimizu?

They have met 1 time and Yuta Shimizu leads 1-0.

Who will win Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu?

Our model makes it Yuta Shimizu to win at 1.29 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Erel v Chen Imamura v Staeheli Santillan v Zhu Langmo v Sultanov Watanuki v Palan Chen v M.