Franco Ribero v Mateo Carballo
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONF. Ribero is 3-7 over the last ten and 21-23 on clay this season. M. Carballo is 0-2 over the last ten and 0-2 on clay this season.
The pick is F. Ribero to win. We make it a 93% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.08 or bigger. At 1.04 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Ribero | M. Carballo | |
|---|---|---|
| 711 | Ranking | - |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 0-2 |
| LWWLL | Last 5 | LL |
| -0.3 | V the odds | -0.1 |
| 24-27 | Season | 0-2 |
| 21-23 | Clay 2026 | 0-2 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 12d | Days rest | 147d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 147d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Villa Maria | F. RiberovM. Carballo | 6-4 6-2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Ribero — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Villa Maria | Clay | N. Bruna | 1.65 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 2-6 2-6 RiberoBrunaPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%64%Return points won36%43%Games held8 of 1211 of 13Break points saved8 of 123 of 5Aces28Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Villa Maria | Clay | M. Carballo | 1.04 | 92% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 RiberoCarballoPoints won56%44%Serve points won51%38%Return points won62%49%Games held5 of 92 of 9Break points saved1 of 53 of 10Aces20Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Cali | Clay | C. M. Zarate | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 3-6 RiberoZaratePoints won36%64%Serve points won42%70%Return points won30%58%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved7 of 125 of 6Aces05Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Cali | Clay | A. Hernandez | 2.28 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-2 RiberoHernandezPoints won58%42%Serve points won57%41%Return points won59%43%Games held6 of 82 of 8Break points saved2 of 44 of 10Aces70Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Cali | Clay | J. Flores | 1.52 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 RiberoFloresPoints won56%44%Serve points won61%48%Return points won52%39%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved7 of 84 of 8Aces21Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-11 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | M. Zeitune | 4.75 | 80% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 RiberoZeitunePoints won46%54%Serve points won62%69%Return points won31%38%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved5 of 83 of 4Aces11Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 4.50 | 79% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 RiberoRodriguezPoints won42%58%Serve points won57%73%Return points won27%43%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved2 of 51 of 1Aces00Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | O. Ovcharenko | 4.15 | 78% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 RiberoOvcharenkoPoints won44%56%Serve points won57%74%Return points won26%43%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved7 of 100 of 0Aces42Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | D. Spasov | 1.05 | 88% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-2 RiberoSpasovPoints won62%38%Serve points won73%49%Return points won51%27%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved1 of 13 of 7Aces01Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-08-26 | M25 Poznan | Clay | D. Michalski | 7.70 | 88% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 6-7 RiberoMichalskiPoints won44%56%Serve points won48%60%Return points won40%52%Games held5 of 117 of 10Break points saved2 of 73 of 6 | |||||||
M. Carballo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Villa Maria | Clay | F. Ribero | 11.47 | 92% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 CarballoRiberoPoints won44%56%Serve points won38%51%Return points won49%62%Games held2 of 95 of 9Break points saved3 of 101 of 5Aces02Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-06-07 | San Miguel de Tucuman | Clay | J. Cundom | 6.87 | 86% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 CarballoCundomPoints won41%59%Serve points won47%65%Return points won35%53%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved2 of 73 of 5Aces01Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-03-10 | M15 La Plata | Clay | C. M. Zarate | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set0-6 1-6 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Franco Ribero or Mateo Carballo?
Franco Ribero is favourite at 1.04, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Franco Ribero vs Mateo Carballo?
Franco Ribero is 1.04 and Mateo Carballo is 11.47, the prices we recorded for the Villa Maria match.
What is the head-to-head between Franco Ribero and Mateo Carballo?
They have met 1 time and Franco Ribero leads 1-0.
Who will win Franco Ribero vs Mateo Carballo?
Our model makes it Franco Ribero to win at 1.04 (Lean confidence).