Lorenzo Gagliardo v Ryan Nijboer
Match preview, prediction and odds
| Player | Set 1 | Pts | Pre | Live |
|---|---|---|---|---|
L. GagliardoMTO 14d | 4 | 0 | 2.96 | ▼1.61 |
R. NijboerMTO 14d | 1 | 0 | 1.42 | ▲2.20 |
R. Nijboer is serving about as well as they have all match. (just broken) Live prices refresh every 20 seconds.
Our pick
LeanR. Nijboer is 6-4 over the last ten and 48-23 on clay this season. L. Gagliardo is 7-3 over the last ten and 22-15 on clay this season. L. Gagliardo took a medical timeout on 2026-10-24. R. Nijboer took a medical timeout on 2026-10-26.
The pick is R. Nijboer to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.49 or bigger. At 1.42 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Gagliardo | R. Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| 1002 | Ranking | 417 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| +0.9 | V the odds | +0.2 |
| 26-17 | Season | 48-25 |
| 22-15 | Clay 2026 | 48-23 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 1d | Days rest | 8d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTO | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Gagliardo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Villa Maria | Clay | I. Vertberger | 1.10 | 86% | WON | |
Games in each set6-0 6-0 GagliardoVertbergerPoints won80%20%Serve points won83%23%Return points won77%17%Games held6 of 60 of 6Break points saved0 of 02 of 8Aces10Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Villa Maria | Clay | T. Meneo | 1.04 | 91% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-0 GagliardoMeneoPoints won72%28%Serve points won83%35%Return points won65%17%Games held6 of 61 of 7Break points saved0 of 04 of 10Aces01Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-28 | M15 João Pessoa (Brazil) | — | P. H. Chabalgoity | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 GagliardoChabalgoityPoints won43%57%Serve points won55%69%Return points won31%45%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved3 of 73 of 4 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | M15 Maceio (Brazil) | Clay | P. Sakamoto | 2.63 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 1-6 GagliardoSakamotoPoints won43%57%Serve points won54%68%Return points won32%46%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 43 of 3 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | M15 Maceio (Brazil) | Clay | O. J. Gutierrez | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-1 GagliardoGutierrezPoints won56%44%Serve points won74%60%Return points won40%26%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved4 of 44 of 6 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | M15 Maceio (Brazil) | Clay | I. Monzon | 1.60 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 GagliardoMonzonPoints won59%41%Serve points won56%39%Return points won61%44%Games held5 of 92 of 9Break points saved1 of 44 of 10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | M15 Maceio (Brazil) | Clay | B. Rodrigues | 1.11 | 86% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-0 GagliardoRodriguesPoints won69%31%Serve points won85%42%Return points won58%15%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 05 of 9 | |||||||
| 2026-09-05 | M15 Trelew (Argentina) | Hard | C. M. Zarate | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 GagliardoZaratePoints won44%56%Serve points won51%65%Return points won35%49%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved3 of 71 of 3 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | M15 Trelew (Argentina) | Hard | F. Aguilar Cardozo | 1.82 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-0 GagliardoCardozoPoints won60%40%Serve points won69%49%Return points won51%31%Games held7 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 14 of 7 | |||||||
| 2026-09-03 | M15 Trelew (Argentina) | Hard | I. Dreycopp | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-1 GagliardoDreycoppPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%62%Return points won38%25%Games held14 of 1411 of 15Break points saved4 of 41 of 5 | |||||||
R. Nijboer — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Guayaquil | Clay | L. Claverie | 1.38 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 3-6 NijboerClaveriePoints won45%55%Serve points won52%63%Return points won37%48%Games held6 of 109 of 11Break points saved11 of 153 of 5Aces39Double faults58 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Guayaquil | Clay | M. Kestelboim | RET | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
Games in each set7-6 1-0 NijboerKestelboimPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%65%Return points won35%33%Games held7 of 76 of 6Break points saved2 of 22 of 2Aces21Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | B. Hassan | 1.93 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 6-7 5-7 NijboerHassanPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%66%Return points won34%33%Games held16 of 1816 of 18Break points saved3 of 53 of 5Aces85Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | J. Barranco Cosano | 1.85 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 NijboerCosanoPoints won58%42%Serve points won69%50%Return points won50%31%Games held7 of 84 of 9Break points saved1 of 25 of 10Aces42Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | M. Moeller | 3.06 | 69% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 NijboerMoellerPoints won44%56%Serve points won48%60%Return points won40%52%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved1 of 67 of 9Aces44Double faults62 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Braga | Clay | M. McDonald | 1.74 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 4-6 6-3 NijboerMcDonaldPoints won53%47%Serve points won59%51%Return points won49%41%Games held10 of 137 of 13Break points saved6 of 915 of 21Aces47Double faults56 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | B. Hassan | 2.20 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-3 NijboerHassanPoints won55%45%Serve points won58%49%Return points won51%42%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved7 of 98 of 13Aces32Double faults17 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Braga | Clay | N. Hipfl | 1.36 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set5-7 7-5 6-1 NijboerHipflPoints won53%47%Serve points won59%53%Return points won47%41%Games held11 of 159 of 16Break points saved10 of 149 of 16Aces66Double faults47 | |||||||
| 2026-10-03 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | A. Ritschard | 3.10 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 1-6 NijboerRitschardPoints won42%58%Serve points won58%72%Return points won28%42%Games held5 of 99 of 10Break points saved3 of 71 of 2 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | M25 Zaragoza | Clay | N. Ifi | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 7-6 NijboerIfiPoints won52%48%Serve points won68%62%Return points won38%32%Games held13 of 1613 of 16Break points saved5 of 83 of 6 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lorenzo Gagliardo or Ryan Nijboer?
Ryan Nijboer is favourite at 1.42, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ryan Nijboer?
Lorenzo Gagliardo is 2.96 and Ryan Nijboer is 1.42, the prices we recorded for the Villa Maria match.
Who will win Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ryan Nijboer?
Our model makes it Ryan Nijboer to win at 1.42 (Lean confidence).