ITFHardM25 Heraklion 32026-11-04 09:00

Melios Efstathiou v Pavlos Tsitsipas

The market

M. EfstathiouFAV1.3171%

Pa. Tsitsipas3.2329%

Market says71% Efstathiou

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. EfstathiouLLLLW

Pa. TsitsipasLWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Efstathiou

Pa. Tsitsipas

28-18

21-13

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

19-26

11-15

Did not play

Lost R32 to A. Knaff

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Melios Efstathiou

Cyprus

Pavlos Tsitsipas

Greece

782

Cyprus

33–26

24–18

7–7

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1013

Greece

2–8

1–5

1–3

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Efstathiou — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-13	M15 Heraklion 8	Hard	G. Perego	1.53	62%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 EfstathiouPeregoPoints won46%54%Serve points won53%62%Return points won38%47%Games held6 of 117 of 11Break points saved1 of 61 of 5
2026-10-07	M15 Heraklion 7	Hard	F. Murgett	1.71	56%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 EfstathiouMurgettPoints won43%57%Serve points won40%53%Return points won47%60%Games held3 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 85 of 8
2026-09-20	ATP Davis Cup - World Group II	- Preliminary	G. Kravchenko	2.40	61%	LOST
Games in each set0-6 1-6 EfstathiouKravchenkoPoints won35%65%Serve points won38%69%Return points won31%62%Games held1 of 87 of 7Break points saved2 of 83 of 3
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group II	- Preliminary	O. Krutykh	2.50	62%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-1 4-6 EfstathiouKrutykhPoints won46%54%Serve points won51%63%Return points won37%49%Games held8 of 138 of 12Break points saved10 of 151 of 5
2026-09-13	M25 Pozzuoli	Hard	L. Rossi	2.25	58%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 EfstathiouRossiPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%60%Return points won40%35%Games held10 of 117 of 10Break points saved7 of 81 of 4
2026-09-12	M25 Pozzuoli	Hard	F. Moroni	2.29	58%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 EfstathiouMoroniPoints won59%41%Serve points won62%45%Return points won55%38%Games held7 of 94 of 10Break points saved1 of 31 of 6
2026-09-11	M25 Pozzuoli	Hard	F. Andaloro	2.92	67%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-0 6-3 EfstathiouAndaloroPoints won57%43%Serve points won63%49%Return points won51%37%Games held13 of 158 of 14Break points saved5 of 710 of 16
2026-09-10	M25 Pozzuoli	Hard	M. Tammaro	1.29	73%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 EfstathiouTammaroPoints won62%38%Serve points won68%43%Return points won57%32%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved0 of 15 of 10
2026-09-08	M25 Pozzuoli	Hard	F. Bove	1.04	93%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-1 EfstathiouBovePoints won60%40%Serve points won62%42%Return points won58%38%Games held6 of 83 of 9Break points saved2 of 43 of 9
2026-08-12	M15 Turku	Hard	O. Paldanius	2.54	62%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-7 EfstathiouPaldaniusPoints won44%56%Serve points won45%58%Return points won42%55%Games held5 of 116 of 10Break points saved0 of 61 of 4

Pa. Tsitsipas — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-29	M15 Heraklion 10	Hard	J. Sadzik	1.63	59%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 TsitsipasSadzikPoints won37%63%Serve points won37%62%Return points won38%63%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved1 of 70 of 2
2026-10-28	M15 Heraklion 10	Hard	J. Filip	4.12	77%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 TsitsipasFilipPoints won52%48%Serve points won65%61%Return points won39%35%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved2 of 48 of 11
2026-10-22	M15 Heraklion 9	Hard	J. Cesar Porras	2.84	66%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-6 TsitsipasPorrasPoints won39%61%Serve points won45%69%Return points won31%55%Games held4 of 97 of 8Break points saved2 of 71 of 2
2026-10-21	M15 Heraklion 9	Hard	A. Aubriot	2.65	64%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 TsitsipasAubriotPoints won58%42%Serve points won65%51%Return points won49%35%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved3 of 41 of 5
2026-10-08	M15 Heraklion 7	Hard	N. Belozertsev	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 TsitsipasBelozertsevPoints won50%50%Serve points won57%59%Return points won41%43%Games held6 of 117 of 10Break points saved5 of 96 of 9
2026-10-07	M15 Heraklion 7	Hard	N. Campbell	1.49	64%	WON
Games in each set5-7 7-5 7-6 TsitsipasCampbellPoints won50%50%Serve points won59%59%Return points won41%41%Games held13 of 1813 of 18Break points saved2 of 79 of 14
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	N. Mashtakov	6.25	85%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 TsitsipasMashtakovPoints won42%58%Serve points won48%65%Return points won35%52%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved9 of 141 of 2Aces00Double faults32
2026-09-20	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	T. Pereira	10.06	91%	WON
Games in each set6-7 7-5 7-6 TsitsipasPereiraPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%63%Return points won37%37%Games held16 of 1815 of 18Break points saved4 of 62 of 5Aces715Double faults126
2026-09-13	Szczecin	Clay	R. Strombachs	3.45	72%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 6-7 1-6 TsitsipasStrombachsPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%67%Return points won33%39%Games held11 of 1514 of 16Break points saved1 of 50 of 2Aces75Double faults46
2026-09-08	M25 Pozzuoli	Hard	N. Catini	1.97	52%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 TsitsipasCatiniPoints won44%56%Serve points won62%69%Return points won31%38%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved0 of 27 of 7

Common questions

Who is favourite, Melios Efstathiou or Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Melios Efstathiou is favourite at 1.31, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Melios Efstathiou is 1.31 and Pavlos Tsitsipas is 3.23, the prices we recorded for the M25 Heraklion 3 match.

Also at this event

Jones v Nurlanuly Wehnelt v Pietri