Novak Djokovic v Jan-Lennard Struff
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTN. Djokovic is 6-4 over the last ten and 12-5 on hard this season. J-L. Struff is 7-3 over the last ten and 15-16 on hard this season. J-L. Struff has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is N. Djokovic 2-0.
The pick is N. Djokovic to win. We make it a 74% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.35 or bigger. At 1.29 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| N. Djokovic | J-L. Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ranking | 59 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| -0.0 | V the odds | +2.9 |
| 20-8 | Season | 25-25 |
| 12-5 | Hard 2026 | 15-16 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | N. DjokovicvJ-L. Struff | 7-6 5-7 6-7 |
| 2025-09-01 | US Open | N. DjokovicvJ-L. Struff | 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-07-26 | Olympic Games | N. DjokovicvJ-L. Struff | 6-4 6-3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
N. Djokovic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J-L. Struff | 1.29 | 76% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 5-7 6-7 DjokovicStruffPoints won50%50%Serve points won77%74%Return points won26%23%Games held17 of 1818 of 18Break points saved2 of 36 of 6Aces2127Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | U. Humbert | 1.41 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-4 DjokovicHumbertPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%63%Return points won37%33%Games held14 of 1512 of 14Break points saved5 of 66 of 8Aces912Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1.53 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 3-6 DjokovicHurkaczPoints won44%56%Serve points won62%73%Return points won27%38%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved3 of 52 of 2Aces213Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Beijing | Hard | A. De Minaur | RET | 1.59 | 61% | WON |
Games in each set7-6 0-1 DjokovicMinaurPoints won53%47%Serve points won82%68%Return points won32%18%Games held6 of 67 of 7Break points saved1 of 12 of 2Aces04Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | A. Zverev | 3.36 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-4 DjokovicZverevPoints won53%47%Serve points won73%68%Return points won32%27%Games held14 of 1513 of 15Break points saved3 of 43 of 5Aces419Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | Y. Bu | 1.30 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-2 DjokovicBuPoints won54%46%Serve points won71%62%Return points won38%29%Games held13 of 1512 of 15Break points saved6 of 84 of 7Aces1510Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | N. Borges | 1.40 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 DjokovicBorgesPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%65%Return points won35%25%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved2 of 21 of 2Aces83Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Navone | 1.18 | 83% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-5 6-4 2-6 1-6 DjokovicNavonePoints won47%53%Serve points won61%67%Return points won33%39%Games held18 of 2421 of 25Break points saved11 of 178 of 12Aces109Double faults108 | |||||||
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 1.28 | 76% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-2 4-6 4-6 DjokovicTirantePoints won48%52%Serve points won62%70%Return points won30%38%Games held12 of 1412 of 14Break points saved13 of 154 of 6Aces513Double faults75 | |||||||
| 2026-07-10 | Wimbledon | Grass | J. Sinner | 5.15 | 81% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 4-6 DjokovicSinnerPoints won44%56%Serve points won61%78%Return points won22%39%Games held12 of 1515 of 15Break points saved10 of 131 of 1Aces816Double faults30 | |||||||
J-L. Struff — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | N. Borges | 1.82 | 54% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 StruffBorgesPoints won60%40%Serve points won67%49%Return points won51%33%Games held7 of 93 of 8Break points saved2 of 43 of 8Aces96Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | N. Djokovic | 4.05 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 7-5 7-6 StruffDjokovicPoints won50%50%Serve points won74%77%Return points won23%26%Games held18 of 1817 of 18Break points saved6 of 62 of 3Aces2721Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Hanfmann | 1.75 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 StruffHanfmannPoints won58%42%Serve points won79%65%Return points won35%21%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 00 of 2Aces73Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | T. Griekspoor | 2.18 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 4-6 StruffGriekspoorPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%71%Return points won29%36%Games held12 of 1414 of 15Break points saved3 of 56 of 7Aces1719Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fils | 4.79 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 7-6 StruffFilsPoints won51%49%Serve points won72%68%Return points won32%28%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved4 of 67 of 10Aces1517Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | Z. Bergs | 2.86 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 StruffBergsPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%67%Return points won33%32%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved5 of 51 of 2Aces513Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | G. Onclin | 1.33 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 StruffOnclinPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%59%Return points won41%30%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 41 of 4Aces133Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | M. Giron | 1.61 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-6 StruffGironPoints won56%44%Serve points won79%62%Return points won38%21%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved1 of 28 of 9Aces158Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Medvedev | 6.45 | 85% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 StruffMedvedevPoints won45%55%Serve points won62%72%Return points won28%38%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved3 of 64 of 6Aces721Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Landaluce | 1.86 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 StruffLandalucePoints won53%47%Serve points won62%60%Return points won40%38%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved7 of 81 of 4Aces136Double faults30 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Novak Djokovic or Jan-Lennard Struff?
Novak Djokovic is favourite at 1.29, which is a 76% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff?
Novak Djokovic is 1.29 and Jan-Lennard Struff is 4.05, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.
What is the head-to-head between Novak Djokovic and Jan-Lennard Struff?
They have met 3 times and Novak Djokovic leads 2-1.
Who will win Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff?
Our model makes it Novak Djokovic to win at 1.29 (Lean confidence).