ITFHardM25 Harlingen, TX2026-11-03 20:00

Quinn Vandecasteele v Bryce Nakashima

The market

Q. Vandecasteele2.0646%

B. NakashimaFAV1.7554%

Market says54% Nakashima

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Q. VandecasteeleLLLWL

B. NakashimaLLWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Q. Vandecasteele1

B. Nakashima1

Head to head2 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-09-14	Tiburon	Q. VandecasteelevB. Nakashima	2-6 4-6
2023-11-14	ITF M25 Columbus, OH Men	B. N. NakashimavQ. Vandecasteele	2-6 7-5 4-6

This season & this event

Q. Vandecasteele

B. Nakashima

36-30

28-22

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

21-9

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Quinn Vandecasteele

USA

Bryce Nakashima

USA

459

USA

20–11

18–8

2–3

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

599

USA

20–7

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Q. Vandecasteele — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-25	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	D. Ostapenkov	1.63	59%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 VandecasteeleOstapenkovPoints won45%55%Serve points won63%73%Return points won27%37%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved2 of 43 of 3Aces39Double faults32
2026-10-18	Fort Worth (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	M. Antonius	1.96	52%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 2-6 3-6 VandecasteeleAntoniusPoints won45%55%Serve points won55%64%Return points won36%45%Games held8 of 1311 of 14Break points saved4 of 93 of 6Aces30Double faults52
2026-10-15	M25 Austin, TX	Hard	S. Gorzny	2.94	68%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 4-6 VandecasteeleGorznyPoints won47%53%Serve points won58%62%Return points won38%42%Games held6 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 94 of 7
2026-10-14	M25 Austin, TX	Hard	A. Shah	1.68	57%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 VandecasteeleShahPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%54%Return points won46%35%Games held8 of 107 of 12Break points saved2 of 412 of 16
2026-09-28	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	D. Ostapenkov	1.48	64%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 VandecasteeleOstapenkovPoints won46%54%Serve points won56%62%Return points won38%44%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved4 of 76 of 7Aces61Double faults42
2026-09-27	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	P. Stearns	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 4-6 6-2 VandecasteeleStearnsPoints won55%45%Serve points won69%57%Return points won43%31%Games held12 of 139 of 13Break points saved2 of 36 of 10Aces143Double faults48
2026-09-20	San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	D. Ostapenkov	1.31	72%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-4 3-6 VandecasteeleOstapenkovPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held11 of 1612 of 15Break points saved3 of 81 of 4Aces102Double faults43
2026-09-14	Tiburon	Hard	B. Nakashima	1.77	54%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 VandecasteeleNakashimaPoints won45%55%Serve points won51%62%Return points won38%49%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved10 of 153 of 5Aces63Double faults24
2026-09-13	Tiburon	Hard	N. Zamora	1.36	68%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-5 VandecasteeleZamoraPoints won59%41%Serve points won70%51%Return points won49%30%Games held9 of 105 of 9Break points saved2 of 33 of 7Aces42Double faults62
2026-08-24	Winston-Salem	Hard	J. Duckworth	3.52	72%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 VandecasteeleDuckworthPoints won39%61%Serve points won45%67%Return points won33%55%Games held2 of 77 of 8Break points saved7 of 121 of 2Aces14Double faults36

B. Nakashima — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	J. Brooksby	5.83	84%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 NakashimaBrooksbyPoints won43%57%Serve points won57%71%Return points won29%43%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved3 of 72 of 3Aces76Double faults42
2026-10-01	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	K. Smith	1.98	53%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-3 5-7 NakashimaSmithPoints won50%50%Serve points won66%69%Return points won31%34%Games held13 of 1613 of 15Break points saved11 of 147 of 9Aces717Double faults21
2026-09-29	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	J. Kennedy	1.61	58%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-2 7-6 NakashimaKennedyPoints won52%48%Serve points won63%58%Return points won42%37%Games held12 of 1511 of 15Break points saved6 of 912 of 16Aces122Double faults11
2026-09-18	Tiburon	Hard	Dar. Blanch	2.40	61%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 NakashimaBlanchPoints won46%54%Serve points won60%68%Return points won32%40%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved5 of 80 of 0Aces52Double faults43
2026-09-16	Tiburon	Hard	T. Legout	2.40	62%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 NakashimaLegoutPoints won55%45%Serve points won68%58%Return points won42%32%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved6 of 74 of 7Aces110Double faults13
2026-09-15	Tiburon	Hard	A. Ilagan	2.37	60%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-7 7-6 NakashimaIlaganPoints won49%51%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held17 of 1816 of 18Break points saved4 of 55 of 7Aces1615Double faults65
2026-09-14	Tiburon	Hard	Q. Vandecasteele	2.09	54%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 NakashimaVandecasteelePoints won55%45%Serve points won62%51%Return points won49%38%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved3 of 510 of 15Aces36Double faults42
2026-09-13	Tiburon	Hard	K. Bigun	1.71	54%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-0 NakashimaBigunPoints won61%39%Serve points won71%49%Return points won51%29%Games held8 of 94 of 9Break points saved2 of 32 of 7Aces51Double faults16
2026-08-30	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	J. Vrba	1.25	76%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 NakashimaVrbaPoints won56%44%Serve points won66%53%Return points won47%34%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved1 of 32 of 6
2026-08-29	M15 Champaign, IL	Hard	P. Stearns	1.41	67%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 NakashimaStearnsPoints won51%49%Serve points won68%63%Return points won37%32%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved3 of 30 of 2

Common questions

Who is favourite, Quinn Vandecasteele or Bryce Nakashima?

Bryce Nakashima is favourite at 1.75, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Quinn Vandecasteele vs Bryce Nakashima?

Quinn Vandecasteele is 2.06 and Bryce Nakashima is 1.75, the prices we recorded for the M25 Harlingen, TX match.

What is the head-to-head between Quinn Vandecasteele and Bryce Nakashima?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

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