ChallengerHard (Indoor)Taipei2026-11-01 10:30

Alafia Ayeni v Kaichi Uchida

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidVOID

K. Uchida to win1.94

Worth backing at 1.79 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 51/49, us 44/56

K. Uchida is 3-7 over the last ten and 13-25 on hard this season. A. Ayeni is 4-6 over the last ten and 19-17 on hard this season. A. Ayeni took a medical timeout on 2026-10-25.

The pick is K. Uchida to win. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.79 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. Ayeni		K. Uchida
443	Ranking	417
4-6	Last 10	3-7
LWLLW	Last 5	LWLLW
-1.7	V the odds	0.0
28-23	Season	13-31
19-17	Hard 2026	13-25
1	Last 7 days	2
7d	Days rest	3d
0	Wins here	0
MTO	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. AyeniFAV1.8851%

K. Uchida1.9449%

Market says51% Ayeni

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. AyeniLLWLL

K. UchidaLWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Ayeni

K. Uchida

28-24

19-18

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

14-32

14-26

Lost QF to J. Duckworth

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alafia Ayeni

USA

Kaichi Uchida

Japan

443

USA

28–22

19–14

9–8

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

417

Japan

12–29

12–24

0–2

0–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Ayeni — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	K. Uchida	RET	1.88	51%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 0-4 AyeniUchidaPoints won31%69%Serve points won37%78%Return points won22%63%Games held1 of 65 of 5Break points saved7 of 120 of 0Aces31Double faults50
2026-10-25	Seoul	Hard	U. Park		1.45	66%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-4 4-6 AyeniParkPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%62%Return points won38%37%Games held13 of 1613 of 16Break points saved5 of 86 of 9Aces122Double faults69
2026-09-28	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	M. Bassem Sobhy		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-0 AyeniSobhyPoints won70%30%Serve points won78%38%Return points won62%22%Games held7 of 82 of 7Break points saved0 of 12 of 7Aces21Double faults25
2026-09-28	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	K. Bigun		1.62	58%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 AyeniBigunPoints won38%62%Serve points won52%82%Return points won18%48%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved5 of 82 of 2Aces78Double faults80
2026-09-21	San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification	Hard	E. Zhu		2.14	56%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 AyeniZhuPoints won39%61%Serve points won56%79%Return points won21%44%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved0 of 30 of 0Aces24Double faults51
2026-09-20	San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	L. Tu		2.24	58%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 AyeniTuPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%60%Return points won40%32%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved6 of 78 of 10Aces70Double faults91
2026-09-09	Istanbul	Clay	F. Maestrelli		3.66	74%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 1-6 4-6 AyeniMaestrelliPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held10 of 1414 of 15Break points saved8 of 126 of 7Aces104Double faults74
2026-09-07	Istanbul	Clay	C. E. Overbeck		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 AyeniOverbeckPoints won56%44%Serve points won68%55%Return points won45%32%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved1 of 21 of 5Aces94Double faults03
2026-09-01	Porto 2	Clay	D. Kuzmanov		5.64	83%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-1 3-6 AyeniKuzmanovPoints won49%51%Serve points won54%57%Return points won43%46%Games held7 of 128 of 12Break points saved3 of 84 of 8Aces11Double faults112
2026-08-31	Porto 2	Clay	T. Cacao		2.17	56%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 AyeniCacaoPoints won45%55%Serve points won53%62%Return points won38%47%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved0 of 43 of 5Aces26Double faults60

K. Uchida — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	C. Hou		—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 UchidaHouPoints won50%50%Serve points won70%64%Return points won36%30%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved0 of 110 of 11Aces149Double faults21
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	A. Ayeni	RET	1.94	51%	WON
Games in each set6-1 4-0 UchidaAyeniPoints won69%31%Serve points won78%37%Return points won63%22%Games held5 of 51 of 6Break points saved0 of 07 of 12Aces13Double faults05
2026-10-29	Ningbo	Hard	H. Mayot		8.06	88%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 UchidaMayotPoints won39%61%Serve points won48%73%Return points won27%52%Games held4 of 97 of 8Break points saved4 of 91 of 2Aces35Double faults71
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	O. Milic		2.79	66%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 UchidaMilicPoints won54%46%Serve points won71%66%Return points won34%29%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved7 of 75 of 7Aces108Double faults22
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	Z. Zhang		7.33	87%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 UchidaZhangPoints won44%56%Serve points won63%79%Return points won21%37%Games held9 of 1110 of 10Break points saved4 of 60 of 0Aces711Double faults12
2026-10-12	Jinan	Hard	I. Ivashka		6.96	86%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 UchidaIvashkaPoints won42%58%Serve points won55%72%Return points won28%45%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved9 of 122 of 2Aces87Double faults11
2026-10-11	Jinan	Hard	Je. Delaney		1.19	80%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 UchidaDelaneyPoints won57%43%Serve points won66%50%Return points won50%34%Games held8 of 105 of 10Break points saved6 of 83 of 8Aces35Double faults26
2026-10-07	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	R. Seggerman		3.76	74%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 5-7 4-6 UchidaSeggermanPoints won48%52%Serve points won70%73%Return points won27%30%Games held14 of 1615 of 16Break points saved5 of 74 of 5Aces530Double faults25
2026-10-05	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	M. Imamura		2.53	62%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 UchidaImamuraPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%59%Return points won41%35%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved3 of 40 of 3Aces53Double faults31
2026-09-22	Chengdu	Hard	F. Cina		—	—	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 UchidaCinaPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%66%Return points won34%54%Games held3 of 78 of 8Break points saved5 of 94 of 4Aces58Double faults51

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alafia Ayeni or Kaichi Uchida?

Alafia Ayeni is favourite at 1.88, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alafia Ayeni vs Kaichi Uchida?

Alafia Ayeni is 1.88 and Kaichi Uchida is 1.94, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.

Who will win Alafia Ayeni vs Kaichi Uchida?

Our model makes it Kaichi Uchida to win at 1.94 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Erel v Chen Imamura v Staeheli Sakellaridis v Shimizu Santillan v Zhu Langmo v Sultanov Watanuki v Palan