Alan Magadan v Valerio Aboian
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanV. Aboian is 7-3 over the last ten and 43-27 on clay this season. A. Magadan is 6-4 over the last ten and 7-6 on clay this season. V. Aboian has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is V. Aboian to win 2-0. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.02 or bigger. At 1.81 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Magadan | V. Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| 523 | Ranking | 347 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| +0.1 | V the odds | +3.8 |
| 27-25 | Season | 45-30 |
| 7-6 | Clay 2026 | 43-27 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 5d | Days rest | 2d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Magadan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Guayaquil | Clay | C. M. Zarate | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 1-6 MagadanZaratePoints won43%57%Serve points won59%72%Return points won28%41%Games held5 of 99 of 10Break points saved4 of 82 of 3Aces24Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Guayaquil | Clay | T. McCormick | 2.16 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 MagadanMcCormickPoints won62%38%Serve points won80%57%Return points won43%20%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 03 of 6Aces35Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Guayaquil | Clay | M. A. Galarraga | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MagadanGalarragaPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%51%Return points won49%38%Games held7 of 95 of 10Break points saved1 of 34 of 9Aces03Double faults313 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Cali | Clay | D. Salazar | 1.65 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 1-6 MagadanSalazarPoints won41%59%Serve points won44%63%Return points won37%56%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved8 of 133 of 4Aces02Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Cali | Clay | J. M. Bolivar Idarraga | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 MagadanIdarragaPoints won56%44%Serve points won66%57%Return points won43%34%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved6 of 63 of 6Aces21Double faults71 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. E. Schiessl | 1.99 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 MagadanSchiesslPoints won41%59%Serve points won49%67%Return points won33%51%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved2 of 63 of 4Aces13Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Bruna | 1.10 | 85% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 7-6 MagadanBrunaPoints won51%49%Serve points won61%57%Return points won43%39%Games held11 of 1511 of 15Break points saved5 of 96 of 10Aces28Double faults010 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | D. Phillips | 1.22 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-1 MagadanPhillipsPoints won61%39%Serve points won70%46%Return points won54%30%Games held7 of 84 of 9Break points saved0 of 15 of 10 | |||||||
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun 2 | Hard | C. Wong | 5.12 | 81% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-1 6-7 MagadanWongPoints won51%49%Serve points won69%66%Return points won34%31%Games held14 of 1512 of 14Break points saved3 of 43 of 5Aces518Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-08-20 | Cancun 2 | Hard | A. Hernandez | 1.58 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-0 6-4 MagadanHernandezPoints won54%46%Serve points won60%50%Return points won50%40%Games held10 of 137 of 13Break points saved10 of 1312 of 18Aces74Double faults13 | |||||||
V. Aboian — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Guayaquil | Clay | H. Dellien | 4.60 | 79% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 2-6 AboianDellienPoints won46%54%Serve points won58%66%Return points won34%42%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved3 of 66 of 7Aces22Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Guayaquil | Clay | N. Hardt | 2.40 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 1-6 7-6 AboianHardtPoints won49%51%Serve points won64%64%Return points won36%36%Games held10 of 1311 of 14Break points saved3 of 63 of 6Aces120Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Guayaquil | Clay | D. Dedura | 3.85 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-6 AboianDeduraPoints won53%47%Serve points won58%53%Return points won47%42%Games held7 of 127 of 12Break points saved5 of 104 of 9Aces40Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Guayaquil | Clay | F. Roncadelli | 2.38 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 2-6 6-2 AboianRoncadelliPoints won54%46%Serve points won57%50%Return points won50%43%Games held8 of 136 of 12Break points saved4 of 95 of 11Aces21Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Cali | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 4.60 | 79% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 AboianAlmeidaPoints won45%55%Serve points won51%63%Return points won37%49%Games held7 of 118 of 10Break points saved7 of 118 of 10Aces32Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Cali | Clay | F. Meligeni Alves | 3.83 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 7-5 AboianAlvesPoints won51%49%Serve points won69%66%Return points won34%31%Games held13 of 1512 of 15Break points saved6 of 84 of 7Aces73Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Cali | Clay | M. Tobon | 2.50 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set1-6 7-6 6-2 AboianTobonPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held10 of 1311 of 14Break points saved3 of 63 of 6Aces111Double faults110 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Cali | Clay | M. Soto | 2.05 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-2 AboianSotoPoints won61%39%Serve points won73%51%Return points won49%27%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 11 of 5Aces123Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Cali | Clay | F. Mena | 3.18 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 6-3 6-4 AboianMenaPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%63%Return points won37%37%Games held11 of 1410 of 13Break points saved3 of 65 of 8Aces22Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | F. Roncadelli | 2.73 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 0-6 3-6 AboianRoncadelliPoints won45%55%Serve points won46%56%Return points won44%54%Games held6 of 1310 of 14Break points saved3 of 105 of 9Aces20Double faults52 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alan Magadan or Valerio Aboian?
Valerio Aboian is favourite at 1.30, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
Alan Magadan is 3.61 and Valerio Aboian is 1.30, the prices we recorded for the Villa Maria match.
Who will win Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model makes it Valerio Aboian to win 2-0 at 1.81 (Lean confidence).