ChallengerClayVilla Maria2026-11-02 14:00

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Juan Pablo Ficovich

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

J. Aguilar Cardozo to win1.53

Worth backing at 1.50 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 61/39, us 67/33

J. Aguilar Cardozo is 7-3 over the last ten and 45-13 on clay this season. J. P. Ficovich is 3-7 over the last ten and 3-10 on clay this season. J. Aguilar Cardozo retired from a match in the last month. J. Aguilar Cardozo has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.50 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Aguilar Cardozo		J. P. Ficovich
342	Ranking	203
7-3	Last 10	3-7
LWWWW	Last 5	LWLLW
+0.9	V the odds	-1.8
48-15	Season	13-26
45-13	Clay 2026	3-10
5	Last 7 days	2
1d	Days rest	4d
0	Wins here	0
retired	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Aguilar CardozoFAV1.5361%

J. P. Ficovich2.3739%

Market says61% Cardozo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

J. Aguilar CardozoLWWWW

J. P. FicovichLWLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. Aguilar Cardozo

J. P. Ficovich

48-15

45-13

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

13-26

3-10

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Uruguay

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Argentina

342

Uruguay

44–13

—

43–12

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

203

Argentina

9–10

6–5

3–5

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Guayaquil	Clay	H. Dellien	RET	2.58	62%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 0-1 CardozoDellienPoints won41%59%Serve points won47%67%Return points won33%53%Games held4 of 66 of 7Break points saved4 of 60 of 1Aces00Double faults10
2026-10-31	Guayaquil	Clay	J. Reis Da Silva		1.88	51%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-1 CardozoSilvaPoints won59%41%Serve points won61%44%Return points won56%39%Games held7 of 94 of 10Break points saved6 of 81 of 7Aces20Double faults20
2026-10-30	Guayaquil	Clay	L. Midon		1.96	51%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 CardozoMidonPoints won51%49%Serve points won55%53%Return points won47%45%Games held7 of 116 of 11Break points saved3 of 75 of 10Aces02Double faults30
2026-10-29	Guayaquil	Clay	T. Barrios Vera		2.17	56%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 CardozoVeraPoints won59%41%Serve points won62%45%Return points won55%38%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved4 of 52 of 7Aces11Double faults15
2026-10-28	Guayaquil	Clay	M. Tobon		1.55	62%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 CardozoTobonPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%61%Return points won39%31%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved1 of 12 of 5Aces24Double faults34
2026-10-12	Santa Cruz 2	Clay	F. Meligeni Alves	RET	1.78	54%	LOST
Games in each set0-6 1-2 CardozoAlvesPoints won33%67%Serve points won38%73%Return points won27%62%Games held1 of 54 of 4Break points saved4 of 84 of 4Aces01Double faults30
2026-10-08	Antofagasta	Clay	L. Midon		1.81	53%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-2 6-7 CardozoMidonPoints won50%50%Serve points won52%53%Return points won47%48%Games held10 of 168 of 16Break points saved6 of 122 of 10Aces13Double faults84
2026-10-06	Antofagasta	Clay	N. Villalon		1.07	89%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 CardozoVillalonPoints won56%44%Serve points won69%56%Return points won44%31%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved0 of 12 of 6Aces12Double faults32
2026-10-05	Antofagasta	Clay	L. J. Rodriguez		1.15	82%	WON
Games in each set6-3 0-6 6-3 CardozoRodriguezPoints won51%49%Serve points won57%59%Return points won41%43%Games held8 of 128 of 12Break points saved9 of 135 of 9Aces10Double faults41
2026-10-04	Antofagasta	Clay	S. De La Fuente		1.03	92%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-7 6-0 CardozoFuentePoints won55%45%Serve points won59%52%Return points won48%41%Games held12 of 136 of 12Break points saved11 of 126 of 12Aces01Double faults22

J. P. Ficovich — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-29	M15 João Pessoa (Brazil)	—	D. Pagani	1.30	74%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 FicovichPaganiPoints won39%61%Serve points won47%71%Return points won29%53%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved4 of 70 of 1
2026-10-27	M15 João Pessoa (Brazil), Clay	—	P. Albuquerque Dietrich	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 FicovichDietrichPoints won58%42%Serve points won67%53%Return points won47%33%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved2 of 35 of 8
2026-10-20	Cali	Clay	F. Meligeni Alves	3.97	76%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 FicovichAlvesPoints won40%60%Serve points won51%74%Return points won26%49%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved4 of 70 of 0Aces31Double faults40
2026-09-24	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	A. Barrena	2.40	61%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 FicovichBarrenaPoints won46%54%Serve points won53%59%Return points won41%47%Games held5 of 108 of 11Break points saved4 of 93 of 6Aces12Double faults32
2026-09-21	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	J. B. Torres	2.38	61%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 FicovichTorresPoints won55%45%Serve points won59%50%Return points won50%41%Games held7 of 104 of 9Break points saved4 of 73 of 8Aces20Double faults12
2026-09-08	Istanbul	Clay	F. Maestrelli	2.96	68%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 FicovichMaestrelliPoints won41%59%Serve points won49%67%Return points won33%51%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved3 of 87 of 8Aces03Double faults12
2026-09-01	Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	P. Martin Tiffon	2.68	64%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 FicovichTiffonPoints won49%51%Serve points won60%63%Return points won37%40%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved7 of 100 of 1Aces31Double faults06
2026-08-26	Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification	Hard	E. Zhu	2.17	56%	WON
Games in each set7-6 4-6 6-2 FicovichZhuPoints won54%46%Serve points won66%56%Return points won44%34%Games held12 of 1511 of 15Break points saved6 of 910 of 14Aces51Double faults66
2026-08-26	Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification	Hard	M. Tobon	1.97	52%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 FicovichTobonPoints won38%62%Serve points won48%72%Return points won28%52%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved3 of 72 of 2Aces01Double faults13
2026-08-18	Kingston (Jamaica)	Hard	J. C. Prado Angelo	2.11	55%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 FicovichAngeloPoints won40%60%Serve points won42%62%Return points won38%58%Games held3 of 87 of 9Break points saved2 of 73 of 5Aces02Double faults13

Common questions

Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Juan Pablo Ficovich?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.53, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo Ficovich?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.53 and Juan Pablo Ficovich is 2.37, the prices we recorded for the Villa Maria match.

Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo Ficovich?

Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.53 (Lean confidence).

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