Ben Shelton v Cameron Norrie
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanB. Shelton is 5-5 over the last ten and 27-10 on hard this season. C. Norrie is 3-7 over the last ten and 20-17 on hard this season. The head to head is B. Shelton 0-1.
The pick is B. Shelton to win. We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.41 or bigger. At 1.36 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| B. Shelton | C. Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ranking | 40 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LWLWL | Last 5 | WLWLL |
| -1.4 | V the odds | -1.4 |
| 42-18 | Season | 25-26 |
| 27-10 | Hard 2026 | 20-17 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 5d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-19 | Cincinnati | B. SheltonvC. Norrie | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
B. Shelton — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J. Kym | 1.27 | 77% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 6-7 SheltonKymPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%71%Return points won29%38%Games held13 of 1714 of 16Break points saved4 of 83 of 5Aces1719Double faults63 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | A. Kovacevic | 1.20 | 81% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 7-6 SheltonKovacevicPoints won50%50%Serve points won79%79%Return points won21%21%Games held18 of 1818 of 18Break points saved4 of 41 of 1Aces4413Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Gea | 1.36 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-7 SheltonGeaPoints won47%53%Serve points won59%66%Return points won34%41%Games held9 of 129 of 12Break points saved5 of 85 of 8Aces74Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Altmaier | 1.11 | 87% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 SheltonAltmaierPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved4 of 54 of 6Aces76Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Mensik | 1.69 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 4-6 3-6 SheltonMensikPoints won44%56%Serve points won66%84%Return points won16%34%Games held13 of 1515 of 16Break points saved5 of 70 of 1Aces49Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Lehecka | 1.57 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 SheltonLeheckaPoints won46%54%Serve points won66%75%Return points won25%34%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved4 of 62 of 2Aces33Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-13 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 2.36 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 7-5 2-6 SheltonZverevPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%73%Return points won27%33%Games held17 of 2119 of 20Break points saved2 of 62 of 3Aces109Double faults46 | |||||||
| 2026-09-11 | US Open | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 1.36 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5 SheltonTiafoePoints won54%46%Serve points won71%61%Return points won39%29%Games held18 of 2015 of 20Break points saved5 of 76 of 11Aces203Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 4.10 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-3 1-6 7-6 SheltonAlcarazPoints won51%49%Serve points won65%62%Return points won38%35%Games held20 of 2319 of 24Break points saved8 of 1111 of 16Aces73Double faults27 | |||||||
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 1.34 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 6-4 SheltonTsitsipasPoints won59%41%Serve points won80%62%Return points won38%20%Games held14 of 149 of 13Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces122Double faults13 | |||||||
C. Norrie — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | M. Arnaldi | 1.41 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 1-6 6-3 NorrieArnaldiPoints won50%50%Serve points won66%67%Return points won33%34%Games held10 of 1310 of 13Break points saved4 of 74 of 7Aces36Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | D. Medvedev | 4.85 | 80% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-7 NorrieMedvedevPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%65%Return points won35%39%Games held12 of 1513 of 16Break points saved3 of 68 of 11Aces112Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cerundolo | 2.77 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-1 NorrieCerundoloPoints won55%45%Serve points won64%52%Return points won48%36%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved1 of 12 of 6Aces05Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | B. Bonzi | 1.85 | 53% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 3-6 NorrieBonziPoints won44%56%Serve points won58%69%Return points won31%42%Games held10 of 1312 of 14Break points saved3 of 63 of 5Aces714Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Svrcina | 1.57 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 4-6 NorrieSvrcinaPoints won49%51%Serve points won56%57%Return points won43%44%Games held9 of 1410 of 14Break points saved4 of 97 of 11Aces22Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Zverev | 6.87 | 86% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 NorrieZverevPoints won44%56%Serve points won64%76%Return points won24%36%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved1 of 23 of 3Aces315Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | L. van Assche | 1.47 | 66% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 2-6 2-6 3-6 NorrieAsschePoints won42%58%Serve points won53%69%Return points won31%47%Games held10 of 1816 of 19Break points saved3 of 111 of 4Aces68Double faults35 | |||||||
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Zverev | 4.06 | 76% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 3-6 3-6 NorrieZverevPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%72%Return points won28%41%Games held11 of 1412 of 13Break points saved13 of 162 of 3Aces316Double faults65 | |||||||
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Prizmic | 1.49 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-1 6-4 NorriePrizmicPoints won53%47%Serve points won69%68%Return points won32%31%Games held12 of 1310 of 13Break points saved4 of 51 of 4Aces311Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-08-09 | Montreal | Hard | A. Fils | 3.02 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 6-7 NorrieFilsPoints won45%55%Serve points won62%72%Return points won28%38%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved6 of 84 of 4Aces45Double faults33 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Ben Shelton or Cameron Norrie?
Ben Shelton is favourite at 1.36, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie?
Ben Shelton is 1.36 and Cameron Norrie is 3.34, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Ben Shelton and Cameron Norrie?
They have met 1 time and Cameron Norrie leads 1-0.
Who will win Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model makes it Ben Shelton to win at 1.36 (Lean confidence).