ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-03 10:00

Benjamin Bonzi v Taylor Fritz

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

B. Bonzi to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.74 or bigger · our chance 58% · market 22/78, us 28/72

B. Bonzi is 6-4 over the last ten and 32-19 on hard this season. T. Fritz is 7-3 over the last ten and 29-16 on hard this season. T. Fritz took a medical timeout on 2026-10-24. T. Fritz has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is B. Bonzi to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.74 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. Bonzi		T. Fritz
97	Ranking	14
6-4	Last 10	7-3
WWLWL	Last 5	WLWWL
+1.4	V the odds	+0.0
38-27	Season	40-21
32-19	Hard 2026	29-16
2	Last 7 days	4
2d	Days rest	4d
2	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	MTO
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. Bonzi4.3522%

T. FritzFAV1.2578%

Market says78% Fritz

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

B. BonziWWLWL

T. FritzWLWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

B. Bonzi

T. Fritz

38-27

32-19

Reached R64

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

40-21

29-16

Lost R16 to A. Bublik

Lost R32 to J. Draper

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Benjamin Bonzi

France

Taylor Fritz

USA

France

34–24

24–15

4–6

6–3

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

USA

34–19

23–14

0–2

11–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Bonzi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Paris	Hard (Indoor)	Y. Hanfmann	1.72	56%	WON
Games in each set7-5 3-6 6-4 BonziHanfmannPoints won52%48%Serve points won73%70%Return points won30%27%Games held14 of 1613 of 15Break points saved1 of 31 of 3Aces1611Double faults11
2026-10-31	Paris	Hard (Indoor)	T. Griekspoor	2.47	61%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-7 6-3 BonziGriekspoorPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%65%Return points won35%30%Games held15 of 1611 of 14Break points saved5 of 61 of 4Aces2119Double faults12
2026-10-21	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	T. Paul	3.14	69%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 7-6 3-6 BonziPaulPoints won46%54%Serve points won68%78%Return points won22%32%Games held13 of 1516 of 16Break points saved3 of 52 of 2Aces1018Double faults13
2026-10-19	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	C. Norrie	2.05	53%	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-6 6-3 BonziNorriePoints won56%44%Serve points won69%58%Return points won42%31%Games held12 of 1410 of 13Break points saved3 of 53 of 6Aces147Double faults02
2026-10-14	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	M. Brunold	1.38	70%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-2 4-6 BonziBrunoldPoints won48%52%Serve points won62%65%Return points won35%38%Games held10 of 1311 of 13Break points saved10 of 133 of 5Aces104Double faults33
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	H. Grenier	1.30	74%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-3 BonziGrenierPoints won55%45%Serve points won67%59%Return points won41%33%Games held13 of 149 of 14Break points saved4 of 58 of 13Aces515Double faults36
2026-09-28	Porto	Clay	A. Holmgren	—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 BonziHolmgrenPoints won41%59%Serve points won61%78%Return points won22%39%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved3 of 51 of 1Aces24Double faults34
2026-09-05	US Open	Hard	K. Khachanov	3.06	68%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 4-6 BonziKhachanovPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%67%Return points won33%44%Games held8 of 1313 of 14Break points saved5 of 103 of 4Aces612Double faults75
2026-09-03	US Open	Hard	I. Buse	2.01	51%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 6-0 BonziBusePoints won59%41%Serve points won73%55%Return points won45%27%Games held13 of 138 of 13Break points saved4 of 42 of 7Aces86Double faults17
2026-09-01	US Open	Hard	A. Molcan	1.47	66%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-3 6-2 BonziMolcanPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%59%Return points won41%27%Games held15 of 1812 of 18Break points saved2 of 56 of 12Aces143Double faults33

T. Fritz — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-30	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	A. Fils	RET	1.97	51%	WON
Games in each set6-2 2-0 FritzFilsPoints won67%33%Serve points won77%41%Return points won59%23%Games held4 of 51 of 5Break points saved1 of 24 of 8Aces70Double faults01
2026-10-30	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	V. Vacherot		1.33	74%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 FritzVacherotPoints won47%53%Serve points won69%71%Return points won29%31%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved2 of 42 of 3Aces1110Double faults12
2026-10-29	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	D. Shapovalov		1.53	64%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 FritzShapovalovPoints won56%44%Serve points won74%59%Return points won41%26%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved3 of 38 of 10Aces28Double faults25
2026-10-27	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	R. Hijikata		1.12	86%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 FritzHijikataPoints won55%45%Serve points won75%65%Return points won35%25%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved1 of 14 of 5Aces196Double faults21
2026-10-25	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	L. Musetti		1.49	66%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 FritzMusettiPoints won43%57%Serve points won63%73%Return points won27%37%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved2 of 40 of 0Aces64Double faults00
2026-10-24	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	T. Paul		1.55	63%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 FritzPaulPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%66%Return points won34%33%Games held11 of 118 of 10Break points saved9 of 91 of 3Aces151Double faults12
2026-10-23	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	D. Altmaier		1.24	78%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 FritzAltmaierPoints won57%43%Serve points won84%64%Return points won36%16%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 04 of 6Aces57Double faults01
2026-10-21	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	P. Herbert		1.22	79%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 FritzHerbertPoints won58%42%Serve points won81%57%Return points won43%19%Games held10 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 08 of 11Aces55Double faults01
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	S. Tsitsipas		1.65	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 5-7 3-6 FritzTsitsipasPoints won50%50%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved6 of 88 of 9Aces2315Double faults42
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	M. Arnaldi		1.26	77%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 FritzArnaldiPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%56%Return points won44%35%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 54 of 7Aces94Double faults00

Common questions

Who is favourite, Benjamin Bonzi or Taylor Fritz?

Taylor Fritz is favourite at 1.25, which is a 78% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Benjamin Bonzi vs Taylor Fritz?

Benjamin Bonzi is 4.35 and Taylor Fritz is 1.25, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

Who will win Benjamin Bonzi vs Taylor Fritz?

Our model makes it Benjamin Bonzi to win a set (Solid confidence).

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