Hiroki Moriya v Taisei Ichikawa
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONH. Moriya is 4-6 over the last ten and 31-29 on hard this season. T. Ichikawa is 6-4 over the last ten and 27-27 on hard this season. T. Ichikawa has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is H. Moriya 1-0.
The pick is H. Moriya to win 2-0. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.32 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Moriya | T. Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 505 | Ranking | 870 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LLWLW | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| -1.0 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 32-30 | Season | 30-28 |
| 31-29 | Hard 2026 | 27-27 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 7d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Ningbo | H. MoriyavT. Ichikawa | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-09-20 | ITF M25 Takasaki Men | T. IchikawavH. Moriya | 3-6 3-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Moriya — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Ningbo | Hard | T. Derepasko | 1.37 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 MoriyaDerepaskoPoints won56%44%Serve points won66%53%Return points won47%34%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved0 of 29 of 13Aces512Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Ningbo | Hard | T. Ichikawa | 1.39 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MoriyaIchikawaPoints won53%47%Serve points won64%60%Return points won40%36%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved6 of 73 of 6Aces58Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Guangzhou | Hard | O. Jasika | 2.60 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 3-6 MoriyaJasikaPoints won42%58%Serve points won54%68%Return points won32%46%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved1 of 42 of 2Aces13Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Saitoh | 1.95 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 3-6 MoriyaSaitohPoints won43%57%Serve points won62%75%Return points won25%38%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved3 of 60 of 0Aces13Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Smith | 3.15 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 6-3 MoriyaSmithPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%60%Return points won40%41%Games held10 of 1411 of 16Break points saved8 of 123 of 8Aces115Double faults62 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | O. Jasika | 2.29 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 MoriyaJasikaPoints won46%54%Serve points won55%62%Return points won38%45%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 61 of 3Aces50Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | J. Huang | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-0 6-4 MoriyaHuangPoints won65%35%Serve points won89%53%Return points won47%11%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 05 of 9Aces23Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | B. Ellis | 1.73 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 7-5 3-6 MoriyaEllisPoints won50%50%Serve points won69%67%Return points won33%31%Games held13 of 1515 of 16Break points saved2 of 45 of 6Aces816Double faults52 | |||||||
| 2026-09-11 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Shimizu | 3.55 | 73% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 5-7 6-7 MoriyaShimizuPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%60%Return points won40%37%Games held14 of 1814 of 18Break points saved12 of 1613 of 17Aces714Double faults57 | |||||||
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | M. Jones | 2.13 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 MoriyaJonesPoints won54%46%Serve points won59%51%Return points won49%41%Games held7 of 106 of 11Break points saved4 of 72 of 7Aces23Double faults32 | |||||||
T. Ichikawa — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Ningbo | Hard | H. Moriya | 2.98 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 IchikawaMoriyaPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%64%Return points won36%40%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved3 of 66 of 7Aces85Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | M15 Singapore 3 (Singapore) | Hard | E. Kirkin | 3.00 | 69% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 1-6 4-6 IchikawaKirkinPoints won44%56%Serve points won60%73%Return points won27%40%Games held10 of 1313 of 14Break points saved7 of 102 of 3 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | M15 Singapore 3 (Singapore) | Hard | L. Lorusso | 1.28 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 IchikawaLorussoPoints won58%42%Serve points won70%53%Return points won47%30%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved1 of 30 of 4 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | M15 Singapore 3 (Singapore) | Hard | N. Karma | 1.69 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-3 IchikawaKarmaPoints won52%48%Serve points won61%56%Return points won44%39%Games held13 of 1610 of 15Break points saved8 of 109 of 14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | M15 Singapore 3 (Singapore) | Hard | R. Nakamura | 1.05 | 92% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-3 IchikawaNakamuraPoints won55%45%Serve points won68%56%Return points won44%32%Games held9 of 107 of 11Break points saved1 of 28 of 12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | B. Bayldon | 1.12 | 82% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 IchikawaBayldonPoints won48%52%Serve points won65%69%Return points won31%35%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved9 of 107 of 7Aces113Double faults26 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | M15 Luan 4 | Hard | N. Ehrenschneider | 2.88 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-1 2-6 2-6 IchikawaEhrenschneiderPoints won47%53%Serve points won55%62%Return points won38%45%Games held7 of 119 of 12Break points saved6 of 105 of 8 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | M15 Luan 4 | Hard | Y. Jin | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 IchikawaJinPoints won65%35%Serve points won81%46%Return points won54%19%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved0 of 07 of 11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | M15 Luan 4 | Hard | A. Susanto | 1.10 | 83% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-1 IchikawaSusantoPoints won55%45%Serve points won55%45%Return points won55%45%Games held6 of 103 of 9Break points saved1 of 54 of 9 | |||||||
| 2026-09-14 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | T. Derepasko | 1.92 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 3-6 IchikawaDerepaskoPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%71%Return points won29%39%Games held7 of 1010 of 11Break points saved8 of 111 of 2Aces48Double faults43 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hiroki Moriya or Taisei Ichikawa?
Hiroki Moriya is favourite at 1.39, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Hiroki Moriya is 1.39 and Taisei Ichikawa is 2.98, the prices we recorded for the Ningbo match.
What is the head-to-head between Hiroki Moriya and Taisei Ichikawa?
They have met 2 times and Hiroki Moriya leads 2-0.
Who will win Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model makes it Hiroki Moriya to win 2-0 at 1.72 (Lean confidence).