ChallengerTaranto (Italy)2026-11-02 10:00

Hugo Grenier v Marvin Moeller

Match preview, prediction and odds

Set 2Serving: H. GrenierJust broken

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Pts	Pre	Live
H. Grenier	7	1	30	1.60	▼1.12
M. Moeller	5	1	0	2.39	▲6.00

MomentumHold 83%

4/6

2/6

H. Grenier is serving about as well as they have all match. (just broken) Live prices refresh every 20 seconds.

Our pick

Solid

M. Moeller to win2.40

Worth backing at 2.15 or bigger · our chance 47% · market 60/40, us 53/47

M. Moeller is 7-3 over the last ten. H. Grenier is 5-5 over the last ten.

The pick is M. Moeller to win. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.15 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. Grenier		M. Moeller
269	Ranking	239
5-5	Last 10	7-3
LLWWL	Last 5	LWWLW
-1.1	V the odds	+1.2
17-27	Season	52-25
-	Surface	-
1	Last 7 days	0
6d	Days rest	17d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. GrenierFAV1.6060%

M. Moeller2.3940%

Market says60% Grenier

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

H. GrenierLLWWL

M. MoellerLWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

H. Grenier

M. Moeller

17-27

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on surface

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

52-25

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Hugo Grenier

France

Marvin Moeller

Germany

269

France

15–24

15–18

0–4

0–2

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

239

Germany

50–24

16–7

34–17

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Grenier — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Brest	Hard	M. Kouame	3.32	71%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 GrenierKouamePoints won47%53%Serve points won60%69%Return points won31%40%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved7 of 90 of 1Aces53Double faults53
2026-10-23	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	Hard	P. Jubb	2.00	52%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-1 6-7 GrenierJubbPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%56%Return points won44%44%Games held8 of 139 of 14Break points saved5 of 108 of 13
2026-10-22	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	Hard	M. Walters	—	—	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 GrenierWaltersPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held10 of 1210 of 14Break points saved8 of 100 of 2
2026-10-20	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	Hard	P. A. Tailleu	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 GrenierTailleuPoints won54%46%Serve points won67%61%Return points won39%33%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved6 of 63 of 6
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	B. Bonzi	3.75	74%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 1-6 3-6 GrenierBonziPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%67%Return points won33%41%Games held9 of 1413 of 14Break points saved8 of 134 of 5Aces155Double faults63
2026-10-05	Villena	Clay	G. Kravchenko	1.44	66%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 GrenierKravchenkoPoints won45%55%Serve points won65%83%Return points won17%35%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved7 of 81 of 1Aces41Double faults20
2026-10-04	Villena	Clay	B. Pujol Navarro	1.02	89%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 GrenierNavarroPoints won57%43%Serve points won75%59%Return points won41%25%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved0 of 17 of 10Aces50Double faults34
2026-10-02	Porto	Clay	I. Montes-De La Torre	—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 GrenierTorrePoints won45%55%Serve points won58%66%Return points won34%42%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved2 of 510 of 11Aces50Double faults67
2026-10-01	Porto	Clay	T. Pereira	1.70	57%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 GrenierPereiraPoints won51%49%Serve points won68%71%Return points won29%32%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved2 of 20 of 1Aces130Double faults61
2026-09-29	Porto	Clay	C. E. Overbeck	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 GrenierOverbeckPoints won60%40%Serve points won71%51%Return points won49%29%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved2 of 32 of 6Aces71Double faults47

M. Moeller — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-16	Catania (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	G. Cadenasso	1.84	53%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-4 6-7 MoellerCadenassoPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%62%Return points won38%41%Games held13 of 1713 of 17Break points saved10 of 145 of 9Aces22Double faults72
2026-10-15	Catania (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	C. A. Caniato	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-2 MoellerCaniatoPoints won52%48%Serve points won66%62%Return points won38%34%Games held11 of 1310 of 14Break points saved3 of 52 of 6Aces34Double faults35
2026-10-12	Catania (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	C. Sanchez Jover	1.53	63%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MoellerJoverPoints won54%46%Serve points won62%55%Return points won45%38%Games held8 of 116 of 10Break points saved2 of 51 of 5Aces41Double faults31
2026-10-09	Braga	Clay	M. Dodig	2.86	66%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 MoellerDodigPoints won43%57%Serve points won54%71%Return points won29%46%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved2 of 64 of 4Aces14Double faults30
2026-10-08	Braga	Clay	R. Nijboer	1.40	69%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 MoellerNijboerPoints won56%44%Serve points won60%48%Return points won52%40%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved7 of 91 of 6Aces44Double faults26
2026-10-05	Braga	Clay	T. Torres	1.53	63%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MoellerTorresPoints won54%46%Serve points won56%48%Return points won52%44%Games held7 of 105 of 10Break points saved7 of 106 of 11Aces15Double faults65
2026-09-26	Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	L. Mikrut	3.08	69%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-7 MoellerMikrutPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%64%Return points won36%37%Games held13 of 1513 of 15Break points saved7 of 97 of 9Aces34Double faults46
2026-09-25	Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	D. Blanch	1.80	53%	WON
Games in each set6-3 4-6 6-3 MoellerBlanchPoints won51%49%Serve points won62%60%Return points won40%38%Games held11 of 149 of 14Break points saved5 of 86 of 11Aces35Double faults21
2026-09-23	Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	F. Arnaboldi	1.36	68%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MoellerArnaboldiPoints won52%48%Serve points won60%55%Return points won45%40%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved8 of 103 of 7Aces22Double faults21
2026-09-21	Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	S. Travaglia	2.00	54%	WON
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-2 MoellerTravagliaPoints won54%46%Serve points won61%54%Return points won46%39%Games held11 of 149 of 14Break points saved4 of 74 of 9Aces26Double faults34

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hugo Grenier or Marvin Moeller?

Hugo Grenier is favourite at 1.60, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller?

Hugo Grenier is 1.60 and Marvin Moeller is 2.39, the prices we recorded for the Taranto (Italy) match.

Who will win Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller?

Our model makes it Marvin Moeller to win at 2.40 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

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