Jay Clarke v Federico Bondioli
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONJ. Clarke is 5-5 over the last ten. F. Bondioli is 5-5 over the last ten. The head to head is J. Clarke 1-0.
The pick is J. Clarke to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.67 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Clarke | F. Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| 240 | Ranking | 326 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLLWL | Last 5 | LWLLL |
| -0.4 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 26-30 | Season | 29-22 |
| - | Surface | - |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 13d | Days rest | 12d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-18 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3 | F. BondiolivJ. Clarke | 4-6 0-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Clarke — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Taranto (Italy) | — | F. Bondioli | 1.58 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 ClarkeBondioliPoints won56%44%Serve points won68%54%Return points won46%32%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 47 of 10Aces12Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Florence (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | D. Sakellaridis | 1.26 | 77% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-4 2-6 ClarkeSakellaridisPoints won46%54%Serve points won47%54%Return points won46%53%Games held7 of 159 of 15Break points saved7 of 155 of 11Aces24Double faults62 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | G. Piraino | 1.52 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 1-6 ClarkePirainoPoints won41%59%Serve points won40%58%Return points won42%60%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved8 of 144 of 6Aces20Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ClarkeManzanoPoints won47%53%Serve points won53%59%Return points won41%47%Games held5 of 107 of 10Break points saved8 of 137 of 10Aces20Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Andaloro | 1.21 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 ClarkeAndaloroPoints won59%41%Serve points won68%47%Return points won53%32%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved0 of 011 of 16Aces34Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. A. Caniato | RET | — | — | LOST |
Games in each set0-6 0-2 ClarkeCaniatoPoints won22%78%Serve points won21%76%Return points won24%79%Games held0 of 44 of 4Break points saved1 of 50 of 0Aces01Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-24 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | G. La Vela | 1.16 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-2 ClarkeVelaPoints won61%39%Serve points won66%45%Return points won55%34%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved2 of 22 of 6Aces30Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-09-22 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. Sperle | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-3 ClarkeSperlePoints won55%45%Serve points won63%53%Return points won47%37%Games held9 of 116 of 10Break points saved1 of 32 of 6Aces11Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | Biella | Clay | A. Moro Canas | 2.22 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-4 2-6 ClarkeCanasPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%63%Return points won37%43%Games held8 of 1410 of 13Break points saved8 of 1410 of 13Aces23Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | Biella | Clay | F. Gill | 1.97 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-3 ClarkeGillPoints won56%44%Serve points won73%58%Return points won42%27%Games held13 of 149 of 14Break points saved1 of 28 of 13Aces25Double faults17 | |||||||
F. Bondioli — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Taranto (Italy) | — | J. Clarke | 2.44 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 BondioliClarkePoints won44%56%Serve points won54%68%Return points won32%46%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved7 of 104 of 4Aces21Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Florence (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Forti | 2.33 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 0-6 BondioliFortiPoints won39%61%Serve points won41%64%Return points won36%59%Games held1 of 76 of 6Break points saved9 of 152 of 2Aces12Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Florence (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | Z. Kolar | 2.34 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-2 BondioliKolarPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%60%Return points won40%35%Games held12 of 149 of 13Break points saved4 of 62 of 6Aces84Double faults18 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2.75 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 7-5 6-7 BondioliVallePoints won46%54%Serve points won50%58%Return points won42%50%Games held8 of 169 of 15Break points saved5 of 1311 of 17Aces36Double faults63 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | Como | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | RET | 1.56 | 61% | LOST |
Games in each set4-2 BondioliArnaboldiPoints won51%49%Serve points won61%59%Return points won41%39%Games held3 of 32 of 3Break points saved0 of 06 of 7Aces12Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-07-19 | Cordenons | Clay | M. Alcala Gurri | 2.95 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 0-6 BondioliGurriPoints won35%65%Serve points won40%71%Return points won29%60%Games held1 of 76 of 7Break points saved8 of 142 of 3Aces10Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-07-18 | Cordenons | Clay | M. Fuele | 1.37 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 BondioliFuelePoints won57%43%Serve points won65%50%Return points won50%35%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved2 of 32 of 6Aces11Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-07-17 | Cordenons | Clay | S. Nagal | 2.12 | 54% | WON | |
Games in each set1-6 7-5 6-3 BondioliNagalPoints won49%51%Serve points won63%64%Return points won36%37%Games held11 of 1411 of 14Break points saved4 of 73 of 6Aces63Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-07-15 | Cordenons | Clay | G. I. Justo | 2.39 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 BondioliJustoPoints won54%46%Serve points won66%56%Return points won44%34%Games held9 of 108 of 11Break points saved5 of 64 of 7Aces31Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-07-14 | Cordenons | Clay | A. Guillen Meza | 1.85 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-3 7-6 BondioliMezaPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%63%Return points won37%38%Games held15 of 1713 of 16Break points saved10 of 1210 of 13Aces45Double faults43 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jay Clarke or Federico Bondioli?
Jay Clarke is favourite at 1.58, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jay Clarke vs Federico Bondioli?
Jay Clarke is 1.58 and Federico Bondioli is 2.44, the prices we recorded for the Taranto (Italy) match.
What is the head-to-head between Jay Clarke and Federico Bondioli?
They have met 1 time and Jay Clarke leads 1-0.
Who will win Jay Clarke vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model makes it Jay Clarke to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).