ChallengerHardCharlottesville · 1/16-finals2026-11-03 23:30

James Kent Trotter v Michael Zheng

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

J. K. Trotter to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.66 or bigger · our chance 60% · market 28/72, us 31/69

J. K. Trotter is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-21 on hard this season. M. Zheng is 5-5 over the last ten and 23-14 on hard this season.

The pick is J. K. Trotter to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.66 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. K. Trotter		M. Zheng
464	Ranking	92
5-5	Last 10	5-5
WWLWW	Last 5	LLWLW
-0.5	V the odds	-2.5
25-23	Season	31-19
25-21	Hard 2026	23-14
3	Last 7 days	0
1d	Days rest	27d
2	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	27d out
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. K. Trotter3.4528%

M. ZhengFAV1.3272%

Market says72% Zheng

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

J. K. TrotterWWLWW

M. ZhengLLWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. K. Trotter

M. Zheng

25-23

25-21

Did not play

Champion

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

31-19

23-14

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

James Kent Trotter

Japan

Michael Zheng

USA

464

Japan

21–21

21–20

—

0–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

USA

30–17

22–12

3–2

5–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. K. Trotter — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Charlottesville	Hard	O. Baris	1.74	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-6 6-3 TrotterBarisPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%59%Return points won41%35%Games held11 of 149 of 13Break points saved3 of 64 of 8Aces94Double faults33
2026-11-01	Charlottesville	Hard	O. Okonkwo	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 TrotterOkonkwoPoints won54%46%Serve points won79%67%Return points won33%21%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 04 of 6Aces106Double faults01
2026-10-27	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	M. Kasnikowski	2.62	63%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 TrotterKasnikowskiPoints won35%65%Serve points won45%81%Return points won19%55%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved4 of 90 of 0Aces45Double faults30
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	O. Baris	1.93	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-7 7-5 TrotterBarisPoints won53%47%Serve points won76%67%Return points won33%24%Games held17 of 1816 of 18Break points saved1 of 27 of 9Aces156Double faults39
2026-10-25	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	T. Svajda	2.40	60%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-4 TrotterSvajdaPoints won51%49%Serve points won60%58%Return points won42%40%Games held11 of 159 of 14Break points saved2 of 68 of 13Aces62Double faults41
2026-10-18	Fort Worth (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	G. Young	1.75	54%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 4-6 3-6 TrotterYoungPoints won51%49%Serve points won60%60%Return points won40%40%Games held10 of 1310 of 13Break points saved10 of 133 of 6Aces35Double faults26
2026-09-29	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	S. Kozlov	—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 TrotterKozlovPoints won44%56%Serve points won53%65%Return points won35%47%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved1 of 50 of 1Aces40Double faults41
2026-09-28	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	L. Tu	1.74	54%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 TrotterTuPoints won45%55%Serve points won54%65%Return points won35%46%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved4 of 86 of 7Aces45Double faults73
2026-09-27	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	A. Okonkwo	—	—	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 TrotterOkonkwoPoints won55%45%Serve points won80%64%Return points won36%20%Games held11 of 1210 of 12Break points saved0 of 16 of 8Aces85Double faults34
2026-09-17	Guangzhou 2	Hard	W. K. Leong M.	1.42	64%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 TrotterM.Points won42%58%Serve points won51%69%Return points won31%49%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved6 of 103 of 4Aces35Double faults74

M. Zheng — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	Y. Wu	2.19	56%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-7 ZhengWuPoints won44%56%Serve points won61%74%Return points won26%39%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved2 of 32 of 2Aces65Double faults11
2026-10-06	Shanghai	Hard	N. Mejia	1.21	79%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 ZhengMejiaPoints won46%54%Serve points won56%65%Return points won35%44%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved5 of 85 of 6Aces42Double faults10
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	F. A. Gomez	1.12	85%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-3 ZhengGomezPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%61%Return points won39%32%Games held14 of 1511 of 15Break points saved3 of 44 of 8Aces108Double faults35
2026-10-01	Jingshan	Hard	Y. Erel	1.17	79%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-7 ZhengErelPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%70%Return points won30%44%Games held6 of 108 of 9Break points saved0 of 40 of 1Aces41Double faults13
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	Y. Zeng	1.02	92%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-1 ZhengZengPoints won58%42%Serve points won71%56%Return points won44%29%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved0 of 10 of 3Aces28Double faults20
2026-09-23	Hangzhou	Hard	Y. Bu	1.79	54%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 ZhengBuPoints won44%56%Serve points won60%71%Return points won29%40%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved3 of 66 of 7Aces28Double faults21
2026-09-19	Tiburon	Hard	Dar. Blanch	1.37	71%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 ZhengBlanchPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%64%Return points won36%33%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved2 of 37 of 8Aces511Double faults24
2026-09-18	Tiburon	Hard	M. Krueger	1.08	85%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 ZhengKruegerPoints won53%47%Serve points won61%55%Return points won45%39%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved2 of 46 of 10Aces63Double faults55
2026-09-17	Tiburon	Hard	T. Svajda	1.25	73%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 ZhengSvajdaPoints won57%43%Serve points won66%55%Return points won45%34%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved3 of 43 of 7Aces92Double faults42
2026-09-16	Tiburon	Hard	E. Zhu	1.05	90%	WON
Games in each set6-1 4-6 7-5 ZhengZhuPoints won54%46%Serve points won67%55%Return points won45%33%Games held12 of 1410 of 15Break points saved5 of 711 of 16Aces31Double faults29

Common questions

Who is favourite, James Kent Trotter or Michael Zheng?

Michael Zheng is favourite at 1.32, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for James Kent Trotter vs Michael Zheng?

James Kent Trotter is 3.45 and Michael Zheng is 1.32, the prices we recorded for the Charlottesville match.

Who will win James Kent Trotter vs Michael Zheng?

Our model makes it James Kent Trotter to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Kozlov v Martin Boulais v Wolf Mayo v Nesterov Fenty v Blanch Galarneau v Milavsky