ChallengerHardCharlottesville · 1/16-finals2026-11-03 16:00

Stefan Kozlov v Andres Martin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

A. Martin to win2.07

Worth backing at 2.00 or bigger · our chance 50% · market 54/46, us 50/50

A. Martin is 4-6 over the last ten and 28-26 on hard this season. S. Kozlov is 3-7 over the last ten and 16-20 on hard this season. The head to head is S. Kozlov 0-1.

The pick is A. Martin to win. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. Kozlov		A. Martin
290	Ranking	269
3-7	Last 10	4-6
LWLWL	Last 5	WLWLL
-1.6	V the odds	-1.0
24-25	Season	58-52
16-20	Hard 2026	28-26
1	Last 7 days	3
6d	Days rest	1d
0	Wins here	2
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. KozlovFAV1.7754%

A. Martin2.0746%

Market says54% Kozlov

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

S. KozlovLWLWL

A. MartinWLWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

S. Kozlov0

A. Martin1

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-03-24	Morelia	S. KozlovvA. Martin	2-6 2-6

This season & this event

S. Kozlov

A. Martin

24-25

16-20

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

58-52

28-26

Lost R32 to M. Rosenkranz

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Stefan Kozlov

USA

Andres Martin

USA

290

USA

23–24

15–18

5–5

3–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

269

USA

0–1

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Kozlov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-28	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	M. H. Rehberg		2.51	62%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 4-6 KozlovRehbergPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%62%Return points won38%41%Games held8 of 1110 of 11Break points saved5 of 810 of 11Aces18Double faults23
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	M. Cassone	RET	2.53	62%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-3 3-0 KozlovCassonePoints won54%46%Serve points won66%55%Return points won45%34%Games held8 of 116 of 11Break points saved1 of 43 of 8Aces24Double faults34
2026-10-01	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	M. Krueger		1.81	51%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-3 3-6 KozlovKruegerPoints won46%54%Serve points won51%60%Return points won40%49%Games held7 of 139 of 13Break points saved9 of 156 of 10Aces49Double faults73
2026-09-29	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	J. K. Trotter		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2 KozlovTrotterPoints won56%44%Serve points won65%53%Return points won47%35%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved0 of 11 of 5Aces04Double faults14
2026-09-21	San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification	Hard	C. Smith		3.20	71%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 KozlovSmithPoints won40%60%Serve points won51%73%Return points won27%49%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved1 of 50 of 1Aces11Double faults22
2026-09-14	Tiburon	Hard	Dar. Blanch		2.62	65%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-2 6-7 KozlovBlanchPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%64%Return points won36%39%Games held11 of 1411 of 15Break points saved5 of 86 of 10Aces15Double faults27
2026-08-13	Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification	Hard	A. Mayo		2.55	62%	WON
Games in each set6-3 5-7 6-2 KozlovMayoPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%64%Return points won36%27%Games held14 of 1511 of 14Break points saved3 of 44 of 7Aces03Double faults24
2026-08-13	Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification	Hard	H. Wendelken		2.15	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 4-6 1-6 KozlovWendelkenPoints won47%53%Serve points won53%61%Return points won39%47%Games held4 of 107 of 10Break points saved8 of 141 of 4Aces15Double faults03
2026-07-25	Washington	Hard	Z. Svajda		4.55	80%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 1-6 KozlovSvajdaPoints won40%60%Serve points won45%66%Return points won34%55%Games held4 of 98 of 10Break points saved5 of 104 of 6Aces35Double faults23
2026-07-21	Bloomfield Hills	Hard	A. Magadan		1.50	65%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 1-6 6-7 KozlovMagadanPoints won47%53%Serve points won50%57%Return points won43%50%Games held9 of 1410 of 14Break points saved8 of 136 of 10Aces38Double faults37

A. Martin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Charlottesville	Hard	S. Brockett		1.22	77%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-0 MartinBrockettPoints won59%41%Serve points won67%50%Return points won50%33%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved4 of 42 of 7Aces11Double faults02
2026-11-01	Bratislava 2	Hard (Indoor)	E. Vasa		2.11	55%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-2 3-6 MartinVasaPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%66%Return points won34%39%Games held10 of 1311 of 14Break points saved5 of 82 of 5Aces311Double faults18
2026-11-01	Charlottesville	Hard	P. Zahraj	RET	1.59	60%	WON
Games in each set3-0 MartinZahrajPoints won70%30%Serve points won80%38%Return points won62%20%Games held2 of 20 of 1Break points saved0 of 03 of 4Aces31Double faults12
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	K. Bigun		1.70	57%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 MartinBigunPoints won41%59%Serve points won56%80%Return points won20%44%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved6 of 91 of 2Aces61Double faults20
2026-10-22	Lisbon	Clay	S. Gulin		2.43	60%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 0-6 2-6 MartinGulinPoints won44%56%Serve points won47%61%Return points won39%53%Games held5 of 117 of 10Break points saved10 of 161 of 4Aces12Double faults21
2026-10-20	Fort Worth (Usa)	Hard	E. Arutiunian		1.68	57%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 6-7 4-6 MartinArutiunianPoints won51%49%Serve points won61%59%Return points won41%39%Games held12 of 1611 of 15Break points saved2 of 611 of 15Aces56Double faults47
2026-10-20	Lisbon	Clay	T. Torres		2.11	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 MartinTorresPoints won57%43%Serve points won63%49%Return points won51%37%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved2 of 44 of 9Aces04Double faults33
2026-10-19	Lisbon	Clay	A. Ritschard		4.39	78%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 MartinRitschardPoints won40%60%Serve points won54%76%Return points won24%46%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved0 of 32 of 2Aces16Double faults14
2026-10-18	Lisbon	Clay	T. Cacao		1.52	63%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 MartinCacaoPoints won52%48%Serve points won61%56%Return points won44%39%Games held8 of 117 of 11Break points saved4 of 79 of 13Aces10Double faults30
2026-10-13	Maia	Clay (Indoor)	N. Sanchez Izquierdo		2.98	68%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 MartinIzquierdoPoints won48%52%Serve points won55%60%Return points won40%45%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved3 of 74 of 6Aces31Double faults11

Common questions

Who is favourite, Stefan Kozlov or Andres Martin?

Stefan Kozlov is favourite at 1.77, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Stefan Kozlov vs Andres Martin?

Stefan Kozlov is 1.77 and Andres Martin is 2.07, the prices we recorded for the Charlottesville match.

What is the head-to-head between Stefan Kozlov and Andres Martin?

They have met 1 time and Andres Martin leads 1-0.

Who will win Stefan Kozlov vs Andres Martin?

Our model makes it Andres Martin to win at 2.07 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Boulais v Wolf Mayo v Nesterov Fenty v Blanch Galarneau v Milavsky Trotter v Zheng