ChallengerHard (Indoor)Taipei2026-11-03 07:30

James McCabe v Yanki Erel

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

Y. Erel to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.40 or bigger · our chance 71% · market 58/42, us 55/45

Y. Erel is 7-3 over the last ten and 51-18 on hard this season. J. McCabe is 2-8 over the last ten and 19-21 on hard this season. Y. Erel took a medical timeout on 2026-11-02. Y. Erel retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is Y. Erel to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.40 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. McCabe		Y. Erel
247	Ranking	300
2-8	Last 10	7-3
LLWLW	Last 5	LWLWW
-2.7	V the odds	+0.6
28-28	Season	54-21
19-21	Hard 2026	51-18
1	Last 7 days	2
7d	Days rest	1d
0	Wins here	1
Defending semi	Fitness	MTOretired
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. McCabeFAV1.6858%

Y. Erel2.2842%

Market says58% McCabe

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

J. McCabeLLLWL

Y. ErelLWLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. McCabe

Defending semi

Y. Erel

28-29

19-22

Lost SF to Y. Nishioka

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

54-21

51-18

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

James McCabe

Australia

Yanki Erel

Turkey

247

Australia

27–26

18–19

0–1

9–6

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

300

Turkey

50–19

49–17

0–1

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. McCabe — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-03	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	K. Samrej		—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 McCabeSamrejPoints won46%54%Serve points won62%71%Return points won29%38%Games held8 of 1011 of 11Break points saved4 of 60 of 0Aces111Double faults37
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	H. Moriya		1.50	64%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-2 6-7 McCabeMoriyaPoints won47%53%Serve points won58%63%Return points won37%42%Games held9 of 1310 of 14Break points saved4 of 82 of 6Aces111Double faults25
2026-10-21	Guangzhou	Hard	J. D. Hara Friend		2.68	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 McCabeFriendPoints won48%52%Serve points won64%68%Return points won32%36%Games held13 of 1613 of 16Break points saved4 of 72 of 5Aces310Double faults52
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	E. Ymer		2.33	59%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-7 7-6 McCabeYmerPoints won52%48%Serve points won73%70%Return points won30%27%Games held15 of 1512 of 15Break points saved0 of 01 of 4Aces1111Double faults33
2026-10-12	Jinan	Hard	H. Matsuoka		2.20	57%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 McCabeMatsuokaPoints won44%56%Serve points won54%71%Return points won29%46%Games held6 of 108 of 9Break points saved3 of 72 of 3Aces46Double faults21
2026-10-11	Jinan	Hard	S. Banthia	RET	1.04	91%	WON
Games in each set6-0 3-1 McCabeBanthiaPoints won70%30%Serve points won81%38%Return points won62%19%Games held5 of 51 of 5Break points saved2 of 25 of 9Aces60Double faults32
2026-09-30	Jingshan	Hard	F. Cina		3.75	75%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 McCabeCinaPoints won39%61%Serve points won53%80%Return points won20%47%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved2 of 60 of 0Aces95Double faults10
2026-08-24	US Open	Hard	L. Neumayer		—	—	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 McCabeNeumayerPoints won38%62%Serve points won56%88%Return points won12%44%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved3 of 60 of 0Aces34Double faults11
2026-08-12	M25 East Lansing, MI	Hard	N. Zamora		1.28	75%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-7 McCabeZamoraPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%66%Return points won34%39%Games held12 of 1613 of 16Break points saved5 of 97 of 10
2026-08-04	Lexington	Hard	D. Lajovic		2.12	55%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-6 3-6 McCabeLajovicPoints won45%55%Serve points won67%74%Return points won26%33%Games held12 of 1416 of 16Break points saved3 of 55 of 5Aces123Double faults52

Y. Erel — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	M. Imamura	RET	1.26	76%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 2-6 1-3 ErelImamuraPoints won45%55%Serve points won53%61%Return points won39%47%Games held7 of 129 of 12Break points saved5 of 105 of 8Aces710Double faults54
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	Y. C. Chen		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 ErelChenPoints won54%46%Serve points won72%63%Return points won37%28%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved1 of 15 of 7Aces35Double faults25
2026-10-10	M25 Luan	Hard	M. Dellavedova	RET	1.41	68%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-2 ErelDellavedovaPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%69%Return points won31%41%Games held4 of 66 of 6Break points saved1 of 32 of 2
2026-10-09	M25 Luan	Hard	A. Shepp		1.29	74%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-5 ErelSheppPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%63%Return points won37%32%Games held11 of 129 of 13Break points saved7 of 81 of 4
2026-10-08	M25 Luan	Hard	E. Pleshivtsev		1.07	88%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-1 ErelPleshivtsevPoints won58%42%Serve points won71%56%Return points won44%29%Games held10 of 115 of 9Break points saved3 of 43 of 7
2026-10-07	M25 Luan	Hard	B. Zhang	RET	1.02	95%	WON
Games in each set6-0 1-0 ErelZhangPoints won69%31%Serve points won75%35%Return points won65%25%Games held3 of 30 of 4Break points saved0 of 03 of 7
2026-10-03	Jingshan	Hard	M. Bellucci		3.60	74%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ErelBellucciPoints won45%55%Serve points won61%74%Return points won26%39%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved5 of 81 of 2Aces514Double faults01
2026-10-02	Jingshan	Hard	F. Cina		3.48	71%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 ErelCinaPoints won52%48%Serve points won64%60%Return points won40%36%Games held9 of 128 of 12Break points saved4 of 73 of 7Aces72Double faults30
2026-10-01	Jingshan	Hard	M. Zheng		4.33	79%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-6 ErelZhengPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%56%Return points won44%30%Games held8 of 96 of 10Break points saved0 of 10 of 4Aces14Double faults31
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	A. Weber		1.55	62%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 ErelWeberPoints won70%30%Serve points won128%57%Return points won43%-28%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 07 of 10Aces01Double faults02

Common questions

Who is favourite, James McCabe or Yanki Erel?

James McCabe is favourite at 1.68, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for James McCabe vs Yanki Erel?

James McCabe is 1.68 and Yanki Erel is 2.28, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.

Who will win James McCabe vs Yanki Erel?

Our model makes it Yanki Erel to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Smith v Delaney Hsu v Jasika Sakellaridis v Shimizu Imamura v M.McCabe v Samrej Harris v Watanuki