ChallengerHard (Indoor)Taipei2026-11-03 04:30

Stefanos Sakellaridis v Yuta Shimizu

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON

Y. Shimizu to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.37 or bigger · our chance 73% · market 55/45, us 53/47

Y. Shimizu is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-22 on hard this season. S. Sakellaridis is 3-7 over the last ten and 27-14 on hard this season. Y. Shimizu has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is S. Sakellaridis 0-1.

The pick is Y. Shimizu to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.37 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. Sakellaridis		Y. Shimizu
135	Ranking	393
3-7	Last 10	5-5
LWLWW	Last 5	WWLWL
-2.4	V the odds	-0.1
43-28	Season	26-22
27-14	Hard 2026	26-22
2	Last 7 days	4
5d	Days rest	1d
0	Wins here	2
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. SakellaridisFAV1.7555%

Y. Shimizu2.1645%

Market says55% Sakellaridis

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

S. SakellaridisLLWLW

Y. ShimizuWWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

S. Sakellaridis0

Y. Shimizu1

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-09-29	Jingshan	S. SakellaridisvY. Shimizu	6-7 2-6

This season & this event

S. Sakellaridis

Y. Shimizu

43-29

27-15

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

27-22

Lost R16 to K. Uchida

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

Yuta Shimizu

Japan

135

Greece

42–26

20–11

18–9

4–3

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

393

Japan

23–20

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Sakellaridis — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-03	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	Y. Shimizu	1.75	55%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 4-6 SakellaridisShimizuPoints won45%55%Serve points won58%72%Return points won28%42%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved1 of 52 of 4Aces60Double faults30
2026-10-29	Seoul	Hard	C. Wong	2.59	63%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 SakellaridisWongPoints won36%64%Serve points won49%79%Return points won21%51%Games held4 of 79 of 9Break points saved1 of 40 of 0Aces25Double faults30
2026-10-27	Seoul	Hard	T. Skatov	1.63	59%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 SakellaridisSkatovPoints won63%37%Serve points won73%48%Return points won52%27%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 12 of 6Aces90Double faults45
2026-10-19	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	M. Kukushkin	1.31	73%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 SakellaridisKukushkinPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%63%Return points won37%40%Games held9 of 129 of 12Break points saved4 of 75 of 8Aces91Double faults31
2026-10-18	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	A. Shevchenko	2.52	62%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 SakellaridisShevchenkoPoints won52%48%Serve points won74%71%Return points won29%26%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved1 of 22 of 4Aces96Double faults20
2026-10-17	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	P. Bar Biryukov	1.44	67%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 SakellaridisBiryukovPoints won62%38%Serve points won80%52%Return points won48%20%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved2 of 22 of 6Aces66Double faults35
2026-10-12	Jinan	Hard	K. Smith	1.64	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-3 3-6 SakellaridisSmithPoints won50%50%Serve points won71%74%Return points won26%29%Games held14 of 1514 of 15Break points saved6 of 74 of 5Aces76Double faults11
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	T. Skatov	1.51	64%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 SakellaridisSkatovPoints won42%58%Serve points won50%68%Return points won32%50%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved8 of 121 of 2Aces51Double faults31
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	Y. Shimizu	1.36	69%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6 SakellaridisShimizuPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%71%Return points won29%34%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved1 of 40 of 1Aces125Double faults43
2026-09-20	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	N. Gombos	2.53	62%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 SakellaridisGombosPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%71%Return points won29%33%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved3 of 44 of 4Aces23Double faults14

Y. Shimizu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-03	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	S. Sakellaridis	2.16	55%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 ShimizuSakellaridisPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%58%Return points won42%28%Games held9 of 117 of 11Break points saved2 of 41 of 5Aces06Double faults03
2026-11-02	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	E. Zhu	1.37	70%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 ShimizuZhuPoints won65%35%Serve points won82%48%Return points won52%18%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved3 of 35 of 9Aces43Double faults01
2026-11-01	Taipei	Hard (Indoor)	D. Sakellaridis	1.28	74%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 ShimizuSakellaridisPoints won59%41%Serve points won71%49%Return points won51%29%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved1 of 25 of 10Aces43Double faults43
2026-10-29	Ningbo	Hard	Y. H. Hsu	2.10	54%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-3 4-6 ShimizuHsuPoints won50%50%Serve points won61%62%Return points won38%39%Games held10 of 1511 of 16Break points saved6 of 112 of 7Aces22Double faults21
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	M. Poljicak	1.82	53%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-4 ShimizuPoljicakPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%69%Return points won31%28%Games held16 of 1613 of 15Break points saved1 of 12 of 4Aces213Double faults31
2026-10-18	Guangzhou	Hard	M. Purcell	—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 ShimizuPurcellPoints won38%62%Serve points won50%74%Return points won26%50%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved1 of 54 of 4Aces111Double faults11
2026-10-01	Jingshan	Hard	B. Tomic	2.46	61%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 2-6 6-7 ShimizuTomicPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%71%Return points won29%36%Games held13 of 1614 of 16Break points saved2 of 57 of 9Aces86Double faults30
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	S. Sakellaridis	3.00	69%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 ShimizuSakellaridisPoints won53%47%Serve points won71%66%Return points won34%29%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 11 of 4Aces512Double faults34
2026-09-15	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	P. Sekulic	1.60	60%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-2 5-7 ShimizuSekulicPoints won47%53%Serve points won58%65%Return points won35%42%Games held9 of 1410 of 14Break points saved4 of 95 of 9Aces96Double faults59
2026-09-12	Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	A. Weber	1.62	60%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ShimizuWeberPoints won45%55%Serve points won57%66%Return points won34%43%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved6 of 92 of 3Aces26Double faults32

Common questions

Who is favourite, Stefanos Sakellaridis or Yuta Shimizu?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is favourite at 1.75, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is 1.75 and Yuta Shimizu is 2.16, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.

What is the head-to-head between Stefanos Sakellaridis and Yuta Shimizu?

They have met 1 time and Yuta Shimizu leads 1-0.

Who will win Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu?

Our model makes it Yuta Shimizu to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Smith v Delaney Hsu v Jasika Imamura v M.McCabe v Erel McCabe v Samrej Harris v Watanuki