ChallengerHardCharlottesville2026-11-01 19:00

Petr Nesterov v James Kent Trotter

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

J. K. Trotter to win1.62

Worth backing at 1.58 or bigger · our chance 63% · market 42/58, us 37/63

J. K. Trotter is 5-5 over the last ten and 23-21 on hard this season. P. Nesterov is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-8 on hard this season.

The pick is J. K. Trotter to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.58 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. Nesterov		J. K. Trotter
298	Ranking	464
5-5	Last 10	5-5
LLWWW	Last 5	LWWLL
-1.9	V the odds	-0.3
53-24	Season	23-23
19-8	Hard 2026	23-21
0	Last 7 days	3
21d	Days rest	5d
0	Wins here	0
21d out	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. Nesterov2.2742%

J. K. TrotterFAV1.6258%

Market says58% Trotter

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

P. NesterovLLWWW

J. K. TrotterWWLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

P. Nesterov

J. K. Trotter

53-24

19-8

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

25-23

25-21

Did not play

Champion

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Petr Nesterov

Bulgaria

James Kent Trotter

Japan

298

Bulgaria

52–22

24–9

28–13

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

464

Japan

21–21

21–20

—

0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Nesterov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-11	Olbia	Hard	C. Langmo	1.44	67%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 NesterovLangmoPoints won41%59%Serve points won49%72%Return points won28%51%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved7 of 121 of 1Aces47Double faults20
2026-10-08	Villena	Clay	P. Llamas Ruiz	3.32	71%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 6-7 3-6 NesterovRuizPoints won49%51%Serve points won60%62%Return points won38%40%Games held12 of 1611 of 14Break points saved4 of 88 of 11Aces74Double faults22
2026-10-06	Villena	Clay	C. Hernandez	1.20	80%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 NesterovHernandezPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%57%Return points won43%33%Games held8 of 107 of 11Break points saved2 of 44 of 8Aces81Double faults23
2026-10-05	Villena	Clay	H. Barton	2.38	60%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-4 6-1 NesterovBartonPoints won55%45%Serve points won67%55%Return points won45%33%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved7 of 99 of 13Aces28Double faults31
2026-10-04	Villena	Clay	C. Chen	1.07	89%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-2 NesterovChenPoints won52%48%Serve points won64%64%Return points won36%36%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved11 of 131 of 5Aces143Double faults34
2026-09-29	Porto	Clay	G. Marques	1.46	66%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-1 4-6 NesterovMarquesPoints won50%50%Serve points won65%64%Return points won36%35%Games held11 of 1411 of 15Break points saved3 of 63 of 7Aces67Double faults31
2026-09-28	Porto	Clay	M. Topo	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 NesterovTopoPoints won59%41%Serve points won80%55%Return points won45%20%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 06 of 9Aces61Double faults15
2026-09-27	Porto	Clay	G. Tabacco	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-3 NesterovTabaccoPoints won51%49%Serve points won56%54%Return points won46%44%Games held10 of 149 of 15Break points saved9 of 139 of 15Aces44Double faults63
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	C. Taberner	2.50	63%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-1 0-6 NesterovTabernerPoints won48%52%Serve points won58%63%Return points won37%42%Games held7 of 128 of 11Break points saved6 of 110 of 3Aces22Double faults33
2026-09-01	Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	Y. Milev	1.23	78%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-3 4-6 NesterovMilevPoints won51%49%Serve points won65%63%Return points won37%35%Games held13 of 1612 of 15Break points saved0 of 33 of 6Aces31Double faults34

J. K. Trotter — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Charlottesville	Hard	O. Baris	1.74	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-6 6-3 TrotterBarisPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%59%Return points won41%35%Games held11 of 149 of 13Break points saved3 of 64 of 8Aces94Double faults33
2026-11-01	Charlottesville	Hard	O. Okonkwo	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 TrotterOkonkwoPoints won54%46%Serve points won79%67%Return points won33%21%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 04 of 6Aces106Double faults01
2026-10-27	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	M. Kasnikowski	2.62	63%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 TrotterKasnikowskiPoints won35%65%Serve points won45%81%Return points won19%55%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved4 of 90 of 0Aces45Double faults30
2026-10-26	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	O. Baris	1.93	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-7 7-5 TrotterBarisPoints won53%47%Serve points won76%67%Return points won33%24%Games held17 of 1816 of 18Break points saved1 of 27 of 9Aces156Double faults39
2026-10-25	Sioux Falls	Hard (Indoor)	T. Svajda	2.40	60%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-4 TrotterSvajdaPoints won51%49%Serve points won60%58%Return points won42%40%Games held11 of 159 of 14Break points saved2 of 68 of 13Aces62Double faults41
2026-10-18	Fort Worth (Usa) - Qualification, Hard	—	G. Young	1.75	54%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 4-6 3-6 TrotterYoungPoints won51%49%Serve points won60%60%Return points won40%40%Games held10 of 1310 of 13Break points saved10 of 133 of 6Aces35Double faults26
2026-09-29	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	S. Kozlov	—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 TrotterKozlovPoints won44%56%Serve points won53%65%Return points won35%47%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved1 of 50 of 1Aces40Double faults41
2026-09-28	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	L. Tu	1.74	54%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 TrotterTuPoints won45%55%Serve points won54%65%Return points won35%46%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved4 of 86 of 7Aces45Double faults73
2026-09-27	Columbus	Hard (Indoor)	A. Okonkwo	—	—	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 TrotterOkonkwoPoints won55%45%Serve points won80%64%Return points won36%20%Games held11 of 1210 of 12Break points saved0 of 16 of 8Aces85Double faults34
2026-09-17	Guangzhou 2	Hard	W. K. Leong M.	1.42	64%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 TrotterM.Points won42%58%Serve points won51%69%Return points won31%49%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved6 of 103 of 4Aces35Double faults74

Common questions

Who is favourite, Petr Nesterov or James Kent Trotter?

James Kent Trotter is favourite at 1.62, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Petr Nesterov vs James Kent Trotter?

Petr Nesterov is 2.27 and James Kent Trotter is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Charlottesville match.

Who will win Petr Nesterov vs James Kent Trotter?

Our model makes it James Kent Trotter to win at 1.62 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Hussey v Heredia Sheehy v Boulais Schulenburg v Heredia Milavsky v Charlton Mitsui v Blancaneaux Kim v Baris